Business
‘Africa, Most Attractive Destination For Investors’
More than one in two institutional investors see Africa as the most attractive region to invest in the next decade, with one in three expecting to put at least 5 percent of their portfolios into the continent by 2016, a survey showed yesterday. Some 158 institutions including pension funds, hedge funds and private banks polled by the Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) said Nigeria and Kenya are likely to bring the best investment returns within Africa over the next three years, followed by Zimbabwe, Egypt and Ghana.
Currently, almost half of respondents have either no exposure or less than a one percent allocation to Africa, where an emerging middle class and growing consumerism are seen offering the most attractive investment opportunities. “Africa was exclusively seen as a commodity play but now there are real economic growth drivers,” said Mohammed Al Hashemi, chief executive officer of Abu Dhabi government-owned Invest AD Asset Management, which commissioned the report. “Africa was a destination for grants and aid but going forward it will be the destination for trade and investment.”
Private equity and infrastructure are expected to outpace commodities as the best asset classes for investment in Africa in the next three years. Forty-six percent of the investors said energy and natural resources offer the best investment return over the next three years, followed by agriculture and agribusiness, construction and real estate and financial services. The most favoured investment vehicle is multi-asset class funds, but respondents thought equity funds will give the most opportunity in the next three years.
Investors consider bribery and corruption as the main challenges of investing in Africa, as well as weak legal and governmental institutions. A third of respondents also cited political risk. Al Hashemi said while instability in countries such as Nigeria, where the Islamist sect Boko Haram has killed hundreds of people in the past year, was an important factor in making investment decisions, he also looked at the fundamentals. “We will keep an eye on politics and the changes there because they will have implications for economic policy,” he said.
“(But) the foundations that make us put our money there are still consistent.” Invest AD, which targets Middle East and Africa investment, already has funds focusing on Iraq and Libya. Its Iraq Opportunity Fund returned around 20 percent in 2011, before the withdrawal of U.S. troops in December raised fears of renewed sectarian violence and weighed on local stocks. “For much of 2011, Iraq was one of the best performing stock markets in the world. We’ve seen the market take a breather.
We think there will be a resumption of the good performance in the Iraqi market. It was inevitable when U.S. troops left that people would sit on the sidelines,” Al Hashemi said. “Iraq has been put on a very firm path of progression and development…When we talk to our contacts and investors they’re keen to add to their exposure to Iraq.” Invest AD also hopes to reinitiate its Libya Opportunity Fund, which was suspended in February after a launch in December 2010 due to the stock market closure. “Libya is in dire need of upgrading infrastructure. The country is wealthy and has potential to be very wealthy. They are self-sufficient in funding a great deal of projects and we have now a great political will to implement these projects,” Al Hashemi said
The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has announced that the 2025 economic indices indicate a positive outlook, with the nation’s GDP expected to accelerate to 4.17 per cent for faster economic growth.
Mr Muhammad Abdullahi, Deputy Governor, Economic Policy Directorate, CBN, revealed this on Tuesday during the 11th edition of the National Economic Outlook: Implications for Businesses in 2025.
The hybrid event, convened in Lagos, was organised by the Chartered Institute of Bankers of Nigeria (CIBN) Centre for Financial Studies in collaboration with B. Adedipe Associates Ltd.
Abdullahi said the nation’s 2025 economic projections remained optimistic with fiscal and monetary reforms already paying off, resulting in the GDP anticipated rise from 3.36 per cent recorded in 2024.
According to him, the growth is anchored on sustained implementation of government reforms, stable crude oil prices, and improvements in domestic oil production.
Abdullahi also stated that stability in the exchange rate would play a crucial role in maintaining the positive trajectory, with the inflation rate projected to decline due to the impact of economic reforms.
“Achieving the targeted inflation rate of 15 per cent in 2025 will require effective collaboration between monetary and fiscal authorities, alongside private sector participation for a stable economic environment,” he said.
The keynote speaker said that the apex bank would prioritise price stability and strengthen the financial sector to support SMEs and critical sectors for businesses to thrive.
Abdullahi noted that the nation’s evolving policy landscape presented both challenges and opportunities for businesses to thrive.
“The government is making deliberate strides to diversify its revenue streams and reduce dependence on the volatile oil sector.
“Through ongoing tax reforms aimed at broadening the tax base and improving collection efficiency, the government is working to establish a more sustainable fiscal environment.
“While these reforms may present challenges in the short term, they are essential for building a more resilient and diversified economy in the long run.
“As businesses, it is crucial to adapt to these changes, understanding that they will ultimately strengthen the economic foundation for future growth.
“As we move forward on this path of exploration and collaboration, we must remain focused on the vast opportunities before us.
“Nigeria’s abundant resources, coupled with the current administration’s commitment to economic reform, offer a fertile ground for innovation, investment, and sustainable growth,” Abdullahi said.
Similarly, Prof. Pius Olanrewaju, President/Chairman of the Council, Chartered Institute of Bankers of Nigeria (CIBN), said 2024 presented both challenges and opportunities.
He noted that the GDP signalled gradual recovery amidst global and domestic pressures.
“As we move into 2025, we are presented with both the opportunity and responsibility to critically examine the economic landscape.
“This forum will help us identify the risks, harness the opportunities, and strategize for the future,” Olarenwaju noted.
He commended the collaboration of experts at the annual event, which included Dr Kabir Katata, Director, Research, Policy and International Relations, Nigeria Deposit Insurance Corporation; and Dr Henrietta Onwuegbuzie of the Lagos Business School.
Others were Akinsola Akeredolu-Ale, CEO, Lagos Commodities and Fixtures Exchange; Mr Akeem Lawal, Managing Director Interswitch (Pure pay); and Chinwe Uzoho, Regional Managing Director, West and Central Africa Network International.
Business
NGA Becomes Official Partner To 29th Gas Conference … As President Set To Address 2025 World Summit
