Business
NBS Puts Inflation Level In December At 10.3 %
The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) has said the country’s inflation rate stood at 10.3 per cent in December.
A statement issued in Abuja by the NBS said that the figure was lower than 10.5 per cent recorded in November.
It stated that the monthly change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) was 1.06 per cent in December, compared to the 0.04 per cent achieved in November.
It also said that the biggest contributors to consumer inflation in December were high prices of food items due to the festive period.
“The increase resulted in the inflation rate recorded in the food sector to edge slightly higher into double digits (11 per cent) after averaging 9.1 per cent in the previous six months.
“The increase in the food index was moderated by low increase in the inflation rate of the ‘All Items Less Farm Produce’ section,’’ the statement said.
It said that the All Items Year-on-Year average consumer price level for urban and rural dwellers rose by 9.0 per cent and 11.3 per cent, respectively.
The statement said that the Urban All Items monthly index was 2.0 per cent in December as against 0.1 per cent in November, while the rural index was 0.3 per cent in December compared with 0.0 per cent in November.
“The All Items Less Farm Produce’ index which excluded the prices of volatile agricultural products increased to 10.8 per cent in December against 11.5 per cent in November.
“Month-on-month, the index rose by 0.2 per cent in December, 2011. The increase was mainly due to increases in transport fares, kerosene and hotel and restaurant charges.
“The ‘All items index’ increased by 1.6 per cent at the end of the fourth quarter of 2011 when compared with 3.4 per cent recorded at the third quarter end,’’ the statement said
It said that prices and weighting were the two basic parameters used to arrive at the CPI.
“The price data are collected for a sample of goods and services from a sample of sales outlets in a sample of locations for a sample of times.
“The weighting data are estimates of shares of the different types of expenditure in the total expenditure covered by the index.
“These weights are usually based upon expenditure data obtained from expenditure surveys for a sample of household or upon estimates of the composition of consumption expenditure in the National Income and Product Account, ’’ it said
The statement said that 10,534 officers were used to collate the data for the CPI monthly, and that 740 product specifications were priced across the rural and urban areas of the 36 states of the federation and the FCT.
It said that the average price of each item was computed for each sector for each state and the FCT and used for index computation.
Business
CBN Predicts 4.17% GDP Growth In 2025
The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has announced that the 2025 economic indices indicate a positive outlook, with the nation’s GDP expected to accelerate to 4.17 per cent for faster economic growth.
Mr Muhammad Abdullahi, Deputy Governor, Economic Policy Directorate, CBN, revealed this on Tuesday during the 11th edition of the National Economic Outlook: Implications for Businesses in 2025.
The hybrid event, convened in Lagos, was organised by the Chartered Institute of Bankers of Nigeria (CIBN) Centre for Financial Studies in collaboration with B. Adedipe Associates Ltd.
Abdullahi said the nation’s 2025 economic projections remained optimistic with fiscal and monetary reforms already paying off, resulting in the GDP anticipated rise from 3.36 per cent recorded in 2024.
According to him, the growth is anchored on sustained implementation of government reforms, stable crude oil prices, and improvements in domestic oil production.
Abdullahi also stated that stability in the exchange rate would play a crucial role in maintaining the positive trajectory, with the inflation rate projected to decline due to the impact of economic reforms.
“Achieving the targeted inflation rate of 15 per cent in 2025 will require effective collaboration between monetary and fiscal authorities, alongside private sector participation for a stable economic environment,” he said.
The keynote speaker said that the apex bank would prioritise price stability and strengthen the financial sector to support SMEs and critical sectors for businesses to thrive.
Abdullahi noted that the nation’s evolving policy landscape presented both challenges and opportunities for businesses to thrive.
“The government is making deliberate strides to diversify its revenue streams and reduce dependence on the volatile oil sector.
“Through ongoing tax reforms aimed at broadening the tax base and improving collection efficiency, the government is working to establish a more sustainable fiscal environment.
“While these reforms may present challenges in the short term, they are essential for building a more resilient and diversified economy in the long run.
“As businesses, it is crucial to adapt to these changes, understanding that they will ultimately strengthen the economic foundation for future growth.
“As we move forward on this path of exploration and collaboration, we must remain focused on the vast opportunities before us.
“Nigeria’s abundant resources, coupled with the current administration’s commitment to economic reform, offer a fertile ground for innovation, investment, and sustainable growth,” Abdullahi said.
Similarly, Prof. Pius Olanrewaju, President/Chairman of the Council, Chartered Institute of Bankers of Nigeria (CIBN), said 2024 presented both challenges and opportunities.
He noted that the GDP signalled gradual recovery amidst global and domestic pressures.
“As we move into 2025, we are presented with both the opportunity and responsibility to critically examine the economic landscape.
“This forum will help us identify the risks, harness the opportunities, and strategize for the future,” Olarenwaju noted.
He commended the collaboration of experts at the annual event, which included Dr Kabir Katata, Director, Research, Policy and International Relations, Nigeria Deposit Insurance Corporation; and Dr Henrietta Onwuegbuzie of the Lagos Business School.
Others were Akinsola Akeredolu-Ale, CEO, Lagos Commodities and Fixtures Exchange; Mr Akeem Lawal, Managing Director Interswitch (Pure pay); and Chinwe Uzoho, Regional Managing Director, West and Central Africa Network International.