Opinion
Northern Governors’ Agitation For More Derivation Funds
As part of the desire to bring you up to date with burning issues through our Innovative Products, PUBLIC OPINION, a Free Speech template aimed at synthesising the unedited views of our esteemed readers as a feedback mechanism, debuts, today, with the public fielding opinions on the vexed proposal by the Northern Governors’ Forum for a new revenue allocation formula in favour of the North. Excerpts.
Mrs Zell Igweze,
Pharmacist
You know there are three tiers of revenue distribution: local government, state government and Federal Government. They are even getting so much. It is not judicious.
The first thing is that we have to sit down and talk about how Nigeria should go. Until we come to that, nobody should be agitating. If we sit down, we then ask what is this formula, what is this revenue? Okay oil, which are the states where we get these things. Who gives us ten or twenty barrels? These are the basis.
What are you producing? On what basis are you making local government or is it based on population? Who will get more?
You can’t base it on land mass, you can only base it on population. Who are you going to develop with your money? We are talking of individuals. If they have to give a local government N2billion, you are looking at the number of children who go to school, you are looking at the number of teachers you have to pay in the local government. Can you now give it to nama because they are grazing on the field. It should not be on land mass.
The North naturally has a lot of land mass and they are not densely populated. So let us start with census. There are so many things wrong with Nigeria. Until we sit down and decide how to do certain things as a country, because it is when we sit down, we can decide how to do certain things. Let them leave it as it is now. Because when they begin to agitate, some people will begin to be angry.
If I am from an oil producing state, I will get very angry. You know there are so many contending issues. I can’t come from here and in the North you are trying to slaughter me as a goat and you are talking about revenue formula. What are you sharing? Is it two countries, if you are asking me to go back to my state. They should take what they have there. Let’s take what we have here, to be able to cater for people who are coming back.
So, what I am saying to the northern governors is that in those days they used to say Northern Arewa because they had the military power behind them, they were having it easy. Now, although we are running a democracy that is not fully democratized, it will not work. I don’t believe in the Nigerian census. Lagos State is more populated than Kano. These are the issues. Goodluck Elebiri,
Civil Servant
For long, they have been ruling this country. All our wealth from the Niger Delta is sent to that place for their development. Now our own son is there and want to help this side to enjoy the benefits of their resources, they are now agitating for something that is not relevant.
If they want to enjoy derivation, they should also allow the government to tap from their solid mineral resources. Because to my own understanding, I believe that even this Boko Haram thing is being sponsored by most of these northern leaders so that government will not tap into their own mineral resources. Because I believe that this present government wants a situation where if they are tapping from this side we should also tap from the North. When the northerners discovered that we want to tap from their side, they began to sponsor Boko Haram, so that they will stop us from coming to tap from them.
What they are agitating for is illegal and unjustified. They don’t have any moral justification for what they are asking for.
If they are saying that the resources belong to the whole country, yes we agree. The host communities should also benefit because they are suffering, especially from oil exploration. Their means of livelihood: fishing and farming, have been destroyed, and they want to use the resources to develop the communities. Why are they angry?
It is proper for the Federal Government to give states more money for development. But our problem: will the states justify the money that is given to them? Some states may justify it, other states may not. But they should be given more money.
Mina Jamabo,
Civil Servant
In terms of this revenue allocation thing, you know during the groundnut pyramid and the cocoa days in the northern and western Nigeria, derivation revenue was 100 per cent then. But with the inception of oil and gas that came out from the Niger Delta, it now seems as if we are starting from the beginning. You know asking from three per cent to 13 per cent, and uptill now, even 50 per cent is not good enough for the Niger Delta because that is where the resources come from and the terrain is difficult. They have not satisfied the yearnings of the Niger Delta and they are now asking for a revenue increase.
They are not really truthful about it. Because they create nothing. All the groundnut pyramid in the days when groundnut was very vital, they really utilized to develop the northern Nigeria. Now, they are still using the oil and gas revenue coming from the Niger Delta to develop the North.
To me, that is okay for them than asking for more. If they are asking for more, they should give Niger Delta well above 50 per cent so that they too can ask for additional resources.
That is the way I see it.
For you to use what is here to develop the North, I think Nigeria has tried. They try and find a way to develop the Niger Delta. Because in the Niger Delta, our lives, our fishes in the river, every thing is polluted. For us to cover up what we have lost in that sector, I think it will take us over five decades. So, they should not say their revenue should be increased for now. Whatever increment should start from the Niger Delta.
I will advise the northern governors to go into other areas than oil. Because we know the North produces the food Nigeria eats today. So, whatever they want, they could be given agricultural loans to boost farming so that the groundnut era could come back again. The cocoa era could come back. Let us not just talk about revenue from oil alone. They should look for other sectors to develop.
Mr. Enyize Nwokugha,
Civil Servant
This their oil something. How can they give northerners our resources? We are the people that have the oil, and we are not gaining anything from it. I don’t know. How northerners go talk say make them no pay us derivation money? (sic).
Mr. Akekue Michael,
Retired Civil Servant
What I have to say is that whatever the southern governors demand is right because the oil is derived from our area. We are supposed to have a reasonable percentage of whatever benefit that may be accruing from that oil.
I am of the opinion that the states should have taken more because we have much to do within the states, especially considering the geographical consideration of the area. They even benefit more than what we benefit from here. I am of the opinion that whatever they are agitating for is not necessary. The North should depend on their groundnut for additional revenue.
Prince Jasy,
Civil Servant
Whatever you decide that is what you will take. Lion share na him you go take (sic). I am of the opinion that we take lion share. A stranger will not take more than the owner. They, the northern governors, should exploit their resources for more revenue.
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Fuel Subsidy Removal and the Economic Implications for Nigerians
From all indications, Nigeria possesses enough human and material resources to become a true economic powerhouse in Africa. According to the National Population Commission (NPC, 2023), the country’s population has grown steadily within the last decade, presently standing at about 220 million people—mostly young, vibrant, and innovative. Nigeria also remains the sixth-largest oil producer in the world, with enormous reserves of gas, fertile agricultural land, and human capital.
Yet, despite this enormous potential, the country continues to grapple with underdevelopment, poverty, unemployment, and insecurity. Recent data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS, 2023) show that about 129 million Nigerians currently live below the poverty line. Most families can no longer afford basic necessities, even as the government continues to project a rosy economic picture.
The Subsidy Question
The removal of fuel subsidy in 2023 by President Bola Ahmed Tinubu has been one of the most controversial policy decisions in Nigeria’s recent history. According to the president, subsidy removal was designed to reduce fiscal burden, unify the foreign exchange rate, attract investment, curb inflation, and discourage excessive government borrowing.
While these objectives are theoretically sound, the reality for ordinary Nigerians has been severe hardship. Fuel prices more than tripled, transportation costs surged, and food inflation—already high—rose above 30% (NBS, 2023). The World Bank (2023) estimates that an additional 7.1 million Nigerians were pushed into poverty after subsidy removal.
A Critical Economic View
As an economist, I argue that the problem was not subsidy removal itself—which was inevitable—but the timing, sequencing, and structural gaps in Nigeria’s implementation.
- Structural Miscalculation
Nigeria’s four state-owned refineries remain nonfunctional. By removing subsidies without local refining capacity, the government exposed the economy to import-price pass-through effects—where global oil price shocks translate directly into domestic inflation. This was not just a timing issue but a fundamental policy miscalculation.
- Neglect of Social Safety Nets
Countries like Indonesia (2005) and Ghana (2005) removed subsidies successfully only after introducing cash transfers, transport vouchers, and food subsidies for the poor (World Bank, 2005). Nigeria, however, implemented removal abruptly, shifting the fiscal burden directly onto households without protection.
- Failure to Secure Food and Energy Alternatives
Fuel subsidy removal amplified existing weaknesses in agriculture and energy. Instead of sequencing reforms, government left Nigerians without refinery capacity, renewable energy alternatives, or mechanized agricultural productivity—all of which could have cushioned the shock.
Political and Public Concerns
Prominent leaders have echoed these concerns. Mr. Peter Obi, the Labour Party’s 2023 presidential candidate, described the subsidy removal as “good but wrongly timed.” Atiku Abubakar of the People’s Democratic Party also faulted the government’s hasty approach. Human rights activists like Obodoekwe Stive stressed that refineries should have been made functional first, to reduce the suffering of citizens.
This is not just political rhetoric—it reflects a widespread economic reality. When inflation climbs above 30%, when purchasing power collapses, and when households cannot meet basic needs, the promise of reform becomes overshadowed by social pain.
Broader Implications
The consequences of this policy are multidimensional:
- Inflationary Pressures – Food inflation above 30% has made nutrition unaffordable for many households.
- Rising Poverty – 7.1 million Nigerians have been newly pushed into poverty (World Bank, 2023).
- Middle-Class Erosion – Rising transport, rent, and healthcare costs are squeezing household incomes.
- Debt Concerns – Despite promises, government borrowing has continued, raising sustainability questions.
- Public Distrust – When government promises savings but citizens feel only pain, trust in leadership erodes.
In effect, subsidy removal without structural readiness has widened inequality and eroded social stability.
Missed Opportunities
Nigeria’s leaders had the chance to approach subsidy removal differently:
- Refinery Rehabilitation – Ensuring local refining to reduce exposure to global oil price shocks.
- Renewable Energy Investment – Diversifying energy through solar, hydro, and wind to reduce reliance on imported petroleum.
- Agricultural Productivity – Mechanization, irrigation, and smallholder financing could have boosted food supply and stabilized prices.
- Social Safety Nets – Conditional cash transfers, food vouchers, and transport subsidies could have protected the most vulnerable.
Instead, reform came abruptly, leaving citizens to absorb all the pain while waiting for theoretical long-term benefits.
Conclusion: Reform With a Human Face
Fuel subsidy removal was inevitable, but Nigeria’s approach has worsened hardship for millions. True reform must go beyond fiscal savings to protect citizens.
Economic policy is not judged only by its efficiency but by its humanity. A well-sequenced reform could have balanced fiscal responsibility with equity, ensuring that ordinary Nigerians were not crushed under the weight of sudden change.
Nigeria has the resources, population, and resilience to lead Africa’s economy. But leadership requires foresight. It requires policies that are inclusive, humane, and strategically sequenced.
Reform without equity is displacement of poverty, not development. If Nigeria truly seeks progress, its policies must wear a human face.
References
- National Bureau of Statistics (NBS). (2023). Poverty and Inequality Report. Abuja.
- National Population Commission (NPC). (2023). Population Estimates. Abuja.
- World Bank. (2023). Nigeria Development Update. Washington, DC.
- World Bank. (2005). Fuel Subsidy Reforms: Lessons from Indonesia and Ghana. Washington, DC.
- OPEC. (2023). Annual Statistical Bulletin. Vienna.
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