Oil & Energy
Oil, Gas: Stakeholers Harp On Local Content
In a communique issued after a Nigeria local content summit held in Port Harcourt last Monday, stakeholders stressed the need for enforcement of the local content law in the oil and gas sector. Excerpts
The Nigerian Content Development and Monitoring Board (NCDMB) was set up following the enactment of the Nigerian Oil and Gas Industry Content Development (NOGICD) Act 2010.
The Act itself provides for the development of Nigerian content in the Nigerian Oil and gas industry. The Act and the Board embody the determination of the Federal Government to increase the benefits and rate of value addition to the domestic environment resulting from activities in the oil and gas industry,. This objective will be achieved through opening up the sector to greater participation of Nigerians and building local capacity to support increased investment.
Since inception, the NCDMB has been making progress towards implementing the provisions of the NOGICD Act, 2010. In a bid to support the efforts of NCDMB, the House of Representatives Committee on Local Content organised a two-day summit on local content to provide an opportunity for an evaluation of the process of implementing the local content agenda, understand the implementation challenges, seek solutions to the challenges, and also explore the possibility of expending the Local Content agenda to other sectors of the economy.
The summit kicked off with an opening ceremony with a number of speeches delivered by the Executive Governor of Rivers State, His Excellency, Rt. Hon. Chibuike Rotimi Amaechi who was represented by his Deputy, Engr. Tele Ikuru, the speaker of the House of Representatives, Rt. Hon. Aminu Waziri Tambuwal, represented by the Depty House Leader, Hon. Leo Okuwe Ogor, Minister of Petroleum Resources, Mrs Diezani Allison-Madueke represented by the Executive Secretary of the NCDMB, Engr. Ernest Nwapa, Minister of Power, Professor Bart Nnaji, represented by his Special Adviser, Mr. C. Don Adinuba, Minister of Communication Technology, Mrs Omobola Johnson and the Chairman of the House Committee on Local Content, Rt. Hon. Honourable Asita.
The first objective of the summit was to seek ways of effectively operationalising the Local Content Act without making the oil and gas and other critical sectors of the economy unattractive to foreign investors and to provide an opportunity for the House Committee on Local Content to engage industry stakeholders in the challenges of implementing the NOGIC Development Act.
The summit involved six key presentations made by eminent resource persons who were supported by selected discussants. The presentations were followed by interative sessions with key issues highlighted such as the limited understanding, perception, penetration/expansion to other sectors and advocacy of the Local Content agenda as currently spelt out, challenges around enforcement powers under the Act cededto the the NOGICD Act is robust but requires to strengthen implementation in the areas of capacity/technological know-how, access to funding/local financing, policy consistency, corporate commitment, and viable national infrastructure:
There is a low level of patriotism by stakeholders in operationalizing the NOGICD Act and there is lack of clarity on measurement of compliance levels in terms of quantum of funds, number of local vendors, and or aggregate domestic spening.
The summit identified the factors critical to the successful operationalization of the Local Content agenda, which include appropriate education and capacity enhancement of service providers/technicians and other stakeholders, high quality of outputs by local contractors already enjoying patronage by IOCs, a conscious effort to domesticate manufacturing and utilization of locally manufactured goods, willingness of banks and other financial institutions to lend long term as opposed to short term and at competitive interest rates, expansion of policy to cover non-oil sector actors that are allied to the oil and gas sector, patriotism and internatlization of the Act by all stakeholders and a good and robust PIB harmonized with the NOGICD Act.
The summit made the recommendations such as there is need to improve public understanding of the provisions and spirit of the NOGICD Act, especially the opportunities they create for the growth of competence and capabilities of local operators and service providers, a clear vision for the operationalization of a robust Local Content agenda needs to be properly articulated and communicated. The current road map of the NCDMB provides an appropriate starting point but should be enhanced, there is need to extend legislation to cover other critical sectors of the economy particularly power and information and communication technology (ICT) as well as the need to encourage partnerships in operationalizing the Local Content agenda, particularly, collaborations amonst local companies and between companies and communities.
Others are the need for government to create adequate incentives and ‘protection’ to local industries. This should include but not limited to review of the Temporary Import Permit (TIP) which is a major impediment to the implementation of the Act, there is need for the National Assembly to accelerate the passage of the PIB, there is need for a review of the Nigerian educational curriculum to address current industry needs, there should be synergy among all relevant ministries, departments and agencies on the implementation of the Local Content Agenda and the need to strengthen the capacity of relevant stakeholder groups and regulatory agencies such as Nigerian maritime Administration and Safety Agency (NIMASA), indigenous Ship Owners Association of Nigeria (ISAN) and Nigerian Chamber f Shipping (NCS).
The key objectives of the House Committee on Local Content is organizing the summit were significantly addressed. The issues and challenges facing the operationalization of the Local Content agenda were highlighted with recommendations. It is believed that the outcome of the proceedings of the summit would form a basis to further the commitment of the House of Representatives, NCDMB and key stakeholders towards achieving the goals of the NOGICD Act.
Oil & Energy
FG Woos IOCs On Energy Growth
The Federal Government has expressed optimism in attracting more investments by International Oil Companies (IOCs) into Nigeria to foster growth and sustainability in the energy sector.
This is as some IOCs, particularly Shell and TotalEnergies, had announced plans to divest some of their assets from the country.
Recall that Shell in January, 2024 had said it would sell the Shell Petroleum Development Company of Nigeria Limited (SPDC) to Renaissance.
According to the Minister of State for Petroleum Resources (Oil), Heineken Lokpobiri, increasing investments by IOCs as well as boosting crude production to enhancing Nigeria’s position as a leading player in the global energy market, are the key objectives of the Government.
Lokpobiri emphasized the Ministry’s willingness to collaborate with State Governments, particularly Bayelsa State, in advancing energy sector transformation efforts.
The Minister, who stressed the importance of cooperation in achieving shared goals said, “we are open to partnerships with Bayelsa State Government for mutual progress”.
In response to Governor Douye Diri’s appeal for Ministry intervention in restoring the Atala Oil Field belonging to Bayelsa State, the Minister assured prompt attention to the matter.
He said, “We will look into the issue promptly and ensure fairness and equity in addressing state concerns”.
Lokpobiri explained that the Bayelsa State Governor, Douyi Diri’s visit reaffirmed the commitment of both the Federal and State Government’s readiness to work together towards a sustainable, inclusive, and prosperous energy future for Nigeria.
While speaking, Governor Diri commended the Minister for his remarkable performance in revitalisng the nation’s energy sector.
Oil & Energy
Your Investment Is Safe, FG Tells Investors In Gas
The Federal Government has assured investors in the nation’s gas sector of the security and safety of their investments.
Minister of State for Petroleum Resources (Gas), Ekperikpe Ekpo, gave the assurance while hosting top officials of Shanghai Huayi Energy Chemical Company Group of China (HUAYI) and China Road and Bridge Corporation, who are strategic investors in Brass Methanol and Gas Hub Project in Bayelsa State.
The Minister in a statement stressed that Nigeria was open for investments and investors, insisting that present and prospective foreign investors have no need to entertain fear on the safety of their investment.
Describing the Brass project as one critical project of the President Bola Tinubu-led administration, Ekpo said.
“The Federal Government is committed to developing Nigeria’s gas reserves through projects such as the Brass Methanol project, which presents an opportunity for the diversification of Nigeria’s economy.
“It is for this and other reasons that the project has been accorded the significant concessions (or support) that it enjoys from the government.
“Let me, therefore, assure you of the strong commitment of our government to the security and safety of yours and other investments as we have continually done for similar Chinese investments in Nigeria through the years”, he added.
Ekpo further tasked investors and contractors working on the project to double their efforts, saying, “I want to see this project running for the good of Nigeria and its investors”.
Earlier in his speech, Leader of the Chinese delegation, Mr Zheng Bi Jun, said the visit to the country was to carry out feasibility studies for investments in methanol projects.
On his part, the Managing Director of Brass Fertiliser and Petrochemical Ltd, Mr Ben Okoye, expressed optimism in partnering with genuine investors on the project.
Oil & Energy
Oil Prices Record Second Monthly Gain
Crude oil prices recently logged their second monthly gain in a row as OPEC+ extended their supply curb deal until the end of Q2 2024.
The gains have been considerable, with WTI adding about $7 per barrel over the month of February.
Yet a lot of analysts remain bearish about the commodity’s prospects. In fact, they believe that there is enough oil supply globally to keep Brent around $81 this year and WTI at some $76.50, according to a Reuters poll.
Yet, like last year in U.S. shale showed, there is always the possibility of a major surprise.
According to the respondents in that poll, what’s keeping prices tame is, first, the fact that the Red Sea crisis has not yet affected oil shipments in the region, thanks to alternative routes.
The second reason cited by the analysts is OPEC+ spare capacity, which has increased, thanks to the cuts.
“Spare capacity has reached a multi-year high, which will keep overall market sentiment under pressure over the coming months”, senior analyst, Florian Grunberger, told Reuters.
The perception of ample spare capacity is definitely one factor keeping traders and analysts bearish as they assume this capacity would be put into operation as soon as the market needs it. This may well be an incorrect assumption.
Saudi Arabia and OPEC have given multiple signs that they would only release more production if prices are to their liking, and if cuts are getting extended, then current prices are not to OPEC’s liking yet.
There is more, too. The Saudis, which are cutting the most and have the greatest spare capacity at around 3 million barrels daily right now, are acutely aware that the moment they release additional supply, prices will plunge.
Therefore, the chance of Saudi cuts being reversed anytime soon is pretty slim.
Then there is the U.S. oil production factor. Last year, analysts expected modest output additions from the shale patch because the rig count remained consistently lower than what it was during the strongest shale boom years.
That assumption proved wrong as drillers made substantial gains in well productivity that pushed total production to yet another record.
Perhaps a bit oddly, analysts are once again making a bold assumption for this year: that the productivity gains will continue at the same rate this year as well.
The Energy Information Administration disagrees. In its latest Short-Term Energy Outlook, the authority estimated that U.S. oil output had reached a record high of 13.3 million barrels daily that in January fell to 12.6 million bpd due to harsh winter weather.
For the rest of the year, however, the EIA has forecast a production level remaining around the December record, which will only be broken in February 2025.
Oil demand, meanwhile, will be growing. Wood Mackenzie recently predicted 2024 demand growth at 1.9 million barrels daily.
OPEC sees this year’s demand growth at 2.25 million barrels daily. The IEA is, as usual, the most modest in its expectations, seeing 2024 demand for oil grow by 1.2 million bpd.
With OPEC+ keeping a lid on production and U.S. production remaining largely flat on 2023, if the EIA is correct, a tightening of the supply situation is only a matter of time. Indeed, some are predicting that already.
Natural resource-focused investors Goehring and Rozencwajg recently released their latest market outlook, in which they warned that the oil market may already be in a structural deficit, to manifest later this year.
They also noted a change in the methodology that the EIA uses to estimate oil production, which may well have led to a serious overestimation of production growth.
The discrepancy between actual and reported production, Goehring and Rozencwajg said, could be so significant that the EIA may be estimating growth where there’s a production decline.
So, on the one hand, some pretty important assumptions are being made about demand, namely, that it will grow more slowly this year than it did last year.
This assumption is based on another one, by the way, and this is the assumption that EV sales will rise as strongly as they did last year, when they failed to make a dent in oil demand growth, and kill some oil demand.
On the other hand, there is the assumption that U.S. drillers will keep drilling like they did last year. What would motivate such a development is unclear, besides the expectation that Europe will take in even more U.S. crude this year than it already is.
This is a much safer assumption than the one about demand, by the way. And yet, there are indications from the U.S. oil industry that there will be no pumping at will this year. There will be more production discipline.
Predicting oil prices accurately, even over the shortest of periods, is as safe as flipping a coin. With the number of variables at play at any moment, accurate predictions are usually little more than a fluke, especially when perceptions play such an outsized role in price movements.
One thing is for sure, though. There may be surprises this year in oil.
lrina Slav
Slav writes for Oilprice.com.