Opinion
Flooding: Buhari Has The Solution
A decade ago, Nigeria experienced what was termed the worst flooding disaster, according to the National Emergency Management Agency (NEMA). Ten years later nothing has changed, and nothing has been done to forestall a recurrence of the flooding disaster, or action taken to attenuate the impact of another flooding disaster. Presently, cities in states situated along the banks of the great Rivers of Benue and Niger are passing through a similitude of Noah’s experience. Farmlands are flooded and crops washed away; whole towns are completely submerged, in Kogi, Benue, Rivers, and Bayelsa States, but 2023 is the only priority of our politicians. The ruling class has no real sympathy for the masses; and neither the dead nor the displaced hundreds of thousands. Not even the lost livelihoods matter. Currently, the deluge has already surpassed the earlier forecast by the National Emergency Management Agency (NEMA) that 13 states would be affected. By the time the spillover from Shiroro, Kainji, and Jebba is added to the mix due to the knock-on effect as expected, the full measure of the disaster can be appreciated
The situation in Kogi State can only be imagined; in fact, no one better describes the state of affairs in Kogi than the State Governor, Yahaya Bello, He said: “Flooding has affected the nine local government areas which lie along the Rivers Niger and Benue, namely, Lokoja, Kogi-Koto, Ajaokuta, Ofu, Igalamela-Odolu, Bassa, Idah, Ibaji, and Omala. Ibaji is almost 100 per cent underwater while the rest range from 30 percent up. Other inland LGAs also have some degree of flooding from smaller rivers and tributaries.” The current deluge portends great danger to the already dilapidated road infrastructure in the country, especially in Kogi, Rivers, and Bayelsa States. Presently, some parts of the East-West Road are submerged, just like the case in Lokoja. The exacerbation is at a level never seen before. The lifespan of most of these roads will drastically decrease, while some will be completely washed away, as is already the case in Ahoada West Local Government Area in Rivers State.
Due to erratic weather patterns, as evidenced by the timing of the rainy season, and a marked increase in the millimeters per year, there is no doubt that the country has entered a new era where annual flooding disaster is seen as normal upending the lives of millions of Nigerians in the low planes along the tributaries of the great rivers. The resultant effect will be irreparable damage to the nation’s agricultural value chain. Already, Olam Agric has reported a loss of about $20 million resulting from the flooding of 4,400 hectares of cultivated rice farm in Nasarawa State. It is estimated that Olam supplies as much as 25 percent of the rice consumed in Nigeria.
The implication, according to Olam’s Vice President, External Relations and Stakeholder Management, Mr Ade Adefeko, is that before December 2022, rice which is a major staple for most Nigerian families might cost as high as N100, 000. In fact, going by the terrifying projections of Mr Adefeko, food inflamtion might be heading to the precipice. It was triggered by the COVID-19 pandemic, amplified by the activities of Fulani herdsmen, exacerbated by the war in Ukraine, and now Noah-like flooding in the food basket states. The idea that a bag of rice which sold for N20,000 at the time of the 2012 flood, and currently selling for around N40,000 could be sold for as much as N100,000 in the next two months, is an existential threat of unimaginable proportions. .
What about other staple foods? Already, it is estimated that the economy has lost around N1 trillion in the past two weeks alone, and this figure is expected to rise. Recall that in the 2012 flood disaster that affected 30 states, which peaked between July and October, many cities were submerged and about 400 persons lost their lives. In the aftermath, the country lost a whopping N2.6 trillion, therefore if the current estimate of N1 trillion in the past two weeks is correct, then nobody occupying any government office relevant to solving the problem of flooding deserves to sleep. You may recall that NIMET and NEMA warned the country of the amount of rain expected this year and the possible aftermath. However it must be stated clearly that our current ordeal is not because of Nigerian rainfall, but the Lagdo Dam in the Northern Province of Cameroon.
Nigerians must know that abandoned projects have mortal consequences.
The flooding did not happen overnight, the Cameroonians warned the Nigerian Government that it was about to release excess water from Lagdo Dam, and the Nigerian Government equally warned helpless Nigerians to either move from low planes or wait and die, because in most cases in Kogi, Edo, Benue, Nasarawa, Niger, Adamawa, Anambra, Delta, Rivers, and Bayelsa States, there are no other options. Was the government taken unawares? No. The Lagdo dam has a mummified stillborn twin on the Nigerian side called the Dasin Hausa Dam located in Dasin Village of the Fufore Local Government Area of Adamawa State.
A bilateral agreement was reached around 1977 before construction began on the Lagdo dam, and the Nigerian government was to build a dam twice the size of the Lagdo dam to serve as a buffer. More than four decades later, the Dasin Housa Dam remains at 90 percent of completion. Since its commissioning in 1982, the Lagdo dam has been supplying electricity and irrigating 15,000 hectares of farmlands for our Cameroonian neighbours. Unfortunately, while the Cameroonians have enjoyed the benefits of the bilateral agreement these forty years, we have remained the weeping child. We continue to suffer calamity as a result of the spillovers from the Lagdo dam.
The Dasin Hausa Dam was never finished to fulfil its primary purpose, and neither did it add any power to the national grid or bring prosperity. Sadly, after the 2012 disaster, then Director of Dams in the Ministry of Water Resources, Dr Emmanuel Adanu, told Environews that the feasibility study done in 1982 for the Dasin Hausa Dam was outdated. He mentioned that a new design was in the works, and if approved, would take 36 months to finish. He said: “It is now imperative for the Federal Government to build a bumper dam to cushion the effect of water released by Lagdo Dam. We are already taking steps to do the construction and we have started looking at how we can improve on the old design.” It is already ten years and we are back to square one, or even worse. As a nation, our penchant for abandoning projects is second to none. It does not matter the scale, the importance, the level of completion, or even the amount so far spent. At the end of the day even though climate change has a hand in our current ordeal, a greater part of our suffering in this case is self-inflicted. It is due in large part to the inability of the Nigerian Government to honour an agreement and to do what is right for its people since 1977.
Our government’s only role in this whole saga is to relay information from the Cameroonian government. Should we be surprised? No. But we ought to be aware that after 43 years, and after several military and civilian governments, including Obasanjo, Shagari, Buhari, Babangida, Abacha, Obasanjo again, Yar Adua and Jonathan, and Buhari again, a very important infrastructure as the Dasin Hausa Dam is still inoperational. In truth, good leaders think many years into the future. They protect the now, but they also take steps to secure the future. It is a monumental betrayal, that the bilateral agreement was signed at the time Nigeria brought the whole of Africa for FESTAC. Recall also, that during that era, someone was heard saying that Nigeria has so much money that we do not even know what to do with it. But during the same era, the first Governor of Rivers State, Navy Commander, Alfred Diete Spief built enduring infrastructure changing the landscape of the city of Port Harcourt.
Interestingly, the Dasin Hausa Dam was started in 1982, but on December 31, 1983, the coup that brought in Major General Mahammadu Buhari took place. Maybe providence has given him another chance to redeem himself. President Buhari must therefore put everything in place to see that even after he leaves office in May 2023, the Dasin Hausa Dam would still be completed to bring an end to the current perennial flooding.
By: Raphael Pepple
Opinion
Rivers Politics: Lere Olayinka’s Cocktail Of Lies
In a calculated attempt to tarnish the reputation of Governor Siminalayi Fubara, Lere Olayinka, the self-styled Senior Special Assistant on Public Communication and Social Media to FCT Minister, Nyesom Wike, stormed News Central TV with a cocktail of lies, half-truths and unfortunate distortions. This desperate smear campaign demands a bold response to expose the true mastermind behind the political turbulence rocking Rivers State. Olayinka harped on the current situation of the Rivers State House of Assembly, highlighting the presence of only three (3) active members. Yet, he conveniently glossed over the real story of Martin Amaewhule and his co-defectors who cowardly abandoned their constituencies and their mandates by defecting to the APC without due consultation. These former legislators, by law, automatically vacated their seats, but Olayinka lacks the courage to admit this truth.
When asked about Wike’s involvement in Rivers State’s political turmoil, Olayinka could not deny the undeniable. Wike is not only a major player in this crisis but also its architect. His meddlesome tendencies and attempts to control the state from Abuja have been met with stiff resistance from Rivers people who are fed-up with his overreach. Olayinka’s claim that Wike elevated Governor Fubara from “a mere cashier” to governor reeks of pettiness. It is an insult to Fubara’s track record of service and to the Rivers people who overwhelmingly voted for him. The truth is, Governor Fubara was instrumental to any success Wike claims during his time as governor, especially in financial prudence and project execution, Olayinka can challenge me to a debate if in doubt. Mr. Olayinka falsely accused Governor Fubara of disobeying President Bola Ahmed Tinubu.
The irony, however, is glaring. The real defiance came from those who President Tinubu called his “newborn babies,” only to disown him days later. Aside the impeachment attempt, Wike’s ill-advised push for these individuals to defect to the APC is at the root of the political mess they currently face. Olayinka’s admission that Fubara is the governor and wields the “red biro” underscores one truth: Governor Siminalayi Fubara is in Charge. While his employer may attempt to pull the strings of discord, Rivers people have declared unequivocally that the era of external interference is over. Sir Fubara is taking bold steps to restore dignity and prioritise the state’s interests. Also, Olayinka’s attempt to draw parallels between Rivers State and Kogi State only highlights his lack of understanding of Rivers politics. Rivers people are not Kogi people.
They will not accept a situation where commissioners or key appointments are dictated from only one man, as Wike attempted to do. Rivers people have spoken, and their stance is non-negotiable. Olayinka’s laughable claim that Governor Fubara is dining with those who opposed his emergence shows a lack of political depth. Almost everyone standing with Wike today—including Magnus Abe and Chidi Lloyd—at one time opposed his own governorship bid. Politics evolves and alliances shift. Governor Fubara is focused on governance, not on petty vendettas. Assuming, without conceding, that Governor Fubara did not address Rivers people during the campaign, the blame lies squarely on Wike, who perhaps never allowed him to speak. He almost succeeded in extending this overbearing tendencies into the governance of the state, but Rivers people are saying “No” to this meddlesome interference.
The glaring contradictions in Olayinka’s rhetoric can tell you why Fayose failed woefully in Ekiti State despite all his noise. Just like his principal, Olayinka has mastered the art of bluster without substance. When pressed on what Wike wants from Governor Fubara that he is not getting, Olayinka could not provide an answer. The truth is simple: Wike desires absolute control, but Governor Fubara and Rivers people have drawn the line. Olayinka’s interview on News Central TV was nothing but a desperate attempt to deflect attention from Wike’s political blunders and meddlesome tendencies. The records are clear: Governor Fubara is focused on the interests of Rivers people, while Wike and his cronies remain trapped in a web of personal ambition. The good news is that Rivers people know the truth. Governor Fubara is acting decisively and Rivers State is moving forward under his leadership. No amount of propaganda or falsehoods can change this fact.
John Martins
Martins wrote in from Port Harcourt.
Opinion
Fubara @ 50: Golden Sparkles And Magic Bullet
Men and women of goodwill are celebrating remarkable milestones in the life of Rivers State Governor, Sir Siminalayi Fubara. He turned 50 on January 28, 2025. His unwavering dedication, focus on excellence, effective advocacy beyond a single-focus “magic bullet” to governance with integrated approach that recognises multiple interrelated drivers of governance change, truly inspire the people. Rivers State is the second largest economy in Nigeria. It is hub of oil and the gas industry, and remains a major contributor to the country’s wealth. It is over such strong, powerful and strategical state, Governor Fubara superintends. At 50 years, he is gold sparkles and in a season of exhilarating jubilee. In 2024, his administration hosted investment summits. Manifest results now show inflow of multiplicity of foreign investments. Strategic partnership festers and the growth of Rivers economy is sustained. Investors enjoy tax moratoriums and land title issuance.
Jollification drumbeats are intense. Fulsome sound. Overreached with symphonic echoes. Scintillated strumming. The strings. Stroke of dexterity and bellowing melody, all so enthralling. Whether in Rivers or elsewhere in Nigeria, you will wriggle waists, do joyful handclaps or leap with hope-filled heart. Feet will do the hopping. There is comforting peace. The glean. A bland. Emphatically, Rivers people bare their hearts of gratitude to God. He enthroned Governor Fubara at at an auspicious time. The people are better off today than ever. The brutish political crisis erupted like a thief at night but was hushed by a watchful watchman. Because it is contained, the people are happier. More 3,066 persons got empowered with N3.6 billion loan facility on a single-digit interest rate of 7.5per cent per annum. It was made possible by a partnership between Rivers government and Bank of Industry (BOI). It offers support to small businesses, drives economic growth, promotes job creation and wealth generation efforts. Ultimately, it is to improve the standard of living of the citizens.
Happier citizenry. Civil and public servants got statutory promotion with consequential salary paid after being stagnated on a grade level for over a decade. In December 2023 and 2024, Christmas bonuses of N100,000 apiece, was paid to each worker, a gesture also extended to retirees. Governor Fubara is a leader with a pure human and godly heart. He had not confronted political violence with violence. No shade of political witch-hunting. No arrest on trumped-up charges. No politically motivated assassinations witnessed. The most insulted by political opponents. His reliance on God is legendary in a wild field of conscienceless political maneuverings, spewing of contradictory lies, threaded thickets of threats, mounted conspiracies to truncate governance and levels of insistence to cause stampede that intend to force a surrendering of the will of the people. All, came to nought. They have become like the mountains before Zerubbabel melting into wax.
What is seen is not indentured servitude. Governor Fubara stands in the gates firmly, defusing violet plots against the mandate of Rivers people. Steadied governance, ensured protection of life and property in a peaceful State. There is messianic balm, sufficiently applied to offer a soothing to frightened hearts, and calmed troubled nerves. Of course, nobody with a decent grasp of the complexity and deep-rooted nature of the crisis will believe that it will be resolved so easily. But you will need to know this also. Governor Fubara was born on a Tuesday in Opobo Town and bears unique traits of people born on Tuesday. Of note is his persistence on chosen course, strives with conviction and wholeheartedly drives on until desirable success is achieved. He is solidly courageous, shares no tent with fear because he must take the risks required to reaching his goals, which is why he faces the challenges head-on.
He is calm though, but makes no mistake about his dogged fighting spirit, calculative and straightforward spirit that wins squarely, and fairly. Four critical priority areas are at focus; healthcare, education, agriculture and road infrastructure development. He must win too, in truly empowering the people to attain quality living. In improving public sector education, the investment is holistic, almost equal attention given to basic education, post-primary education and tertiary education. Personnel, not less than 1000 apiece, are employed into universal basic education and post-primary levels. Staff recruitment done at Ignatius Ajuru University of Education and at Captain Elechi Amadi Polytechnic. A new Rivers State College of Education is in the offing plus 3000 more teachers to be recruited to improve the teacher: learners’ ratio.
Modern learning infrastructure and essential instructional materials are distributed to nursery, primary, and junior secondary schools in the 23 local government areas, which included Teachers’ notebooks, smart-board pens, dusters and marker pens, writing pens, textbooks covering all subjects, Phonetics textbooks, varieties of storybooks, records and diaries for junior secondary schools, school attendance registers. The health sector has received historic investments. 25 general hospitals have capacity strengthened to provide regular, quality healthcare. More health facilities like four zonal hospitals in Bori, Ahoada, Degema, and Omoku towns in four local government areas being remodelled, expanded and upgraded. A modern psychiatric hospital is nearing completion and will be equipped to provide dedicated neuro-psychiatric services. Already, 1,000 personnel are employed by the Rivers State Health Management Board while another 1,000 are engaged by the Rivers State University Teaching Hospital (RSUTH). This will bridge manpower gap.
There is a comprehensive agriculture transformation support programme pursued with the N31 billion allocated in 2025 budget to achieve food security, enhance job creation and facilitate economic growth. Some legacy road projects included the 15.6 km Port Harcourt Ring road and 12.5km Trans-Kalabari Highway Road. These critical infrastructure consolidate development efforts. Truly, at 50, Governor Fubara will have moments for deep reflection and be genuinely propelled to express gratitude to God for divine benevolence. He stands between dreams and aspirations, some achieved, others yet pursued. What is more, in these 50 years, he has given it his all, and still eager to grasp opportunities to live to fullest while delivering more quality service to the state, country and humanity.
Tamunobarabi Ibulubo
Ibulubo is of the Rivers State Television (RSTV), Port Harcourt.
Opinion
Nigeria’s Electricity Sector: Need For Restructuring
In mid October, 2024, our national electricity grid suffered three collapses just within a week, throwing many states of Nigeria in total blackouts. Right from independence, Nigeria has always set agendas for attaining steady electricity, but ends up failing to achieve that noble objective. The perennial challenge of providing reliable electricity across Nigeria is however no puzzle beyond humans, yet the sector remains backward, notwithstanding series of reforms and public expenditures. But at the centre of the failures from all past reforms, is a common factor – the reluctance by government, whether deliberate or inadvertent, to extricate itself from the operational lines of the business. The presence of Nigerian government in any business process, especially where it monopolistically occupies vital operational linkage, has proven to create bottlenecks that stifle efficiencies, and defeat the overall objectives.
This was evident in the telecommunications sector, as it is in the petroleum and power sectors. Take for instance, the current policy framework that overshadowes electricity business across Nigeria, where in the name of privatisation, government deliberately butchered off, and separately sold vital organs of the national electricity industry, in an arrangement where the generating companies (GenCos) do not have licences to transmit and distribute generated power, and distribution companies (DisCos) have no licences to produce the sole commodity they sell, while the federal government through the Transmission Company of Nigeria (TCN), monopolistically retains transmission trades between GenCos and DisCos.The insertion of TCN between the private businesses of power generation and distribution, destroys benefits derivable from privatising electricity productions in Nigeria.
With the GenCos and DisCos answerable to the separate managements while the TCN reports to the Federal Ministry of Power, Works and Housing, it is obvious that the unbreakable chain of commands needed for seamless business operations was designed for disarray. Besides, government also solely holds the stakes in gas supplies needed for much of Nigeria’s 16,384 MegaWatts installed capacity. Due to inadequacy of gas supplies, the GenCos produce about 8,415MW, out of which, due to TCN’s inefficiency, only about 4,000MW get to DisCos. However, among the three loosely bound entities in Nigeria’s unholy marriage of electricity production, the GenCos appear more upbeat at investing for increased capacity but are dragged by delivery challenges from the TCN on the one hand, and poor revenue returns from the DisCos, on the other.
The failure of TCN to deploy modern surveillance and field data acquisition technologies to maintain network reliability, has left its facilities prone to vandalism. It does not encourage GenCos who take the major production risks that they can not deal directly with consumers. In the prevailing situation in which DisCos, being closest to power consumers harvest the collective revenue, the opaque nature of that crucial assignment as currently being conducted, gives room for under-reporting.The electricity business like any other, should project transparent prospects of profits to inspire undertakings in investment risks, and it is only operational frameworks that assure investors of end-to-end process integrity that can encourage the deployment of total commitments. Discos’ obvious reluctance at metering, nor upgrading distribution facilities for efficiency, gives no incentives to GenCos to increase investments in power generation.
It does not also help that TCN’s Market Operations (MO) department passes revenue trickles from DisCos, unto GenCos without enforcing collection transparency on the former. Most of Nigeria’s electricity transmission network infrastructure were installed more than 50 years ago. Since inheriting the transmission assets in the 2005 privatisation, and further restructuring in 2013, TCN’s Transmission Service Provider (TSP) department which is responsible for grid construction and maintenance has not done much to expand network capacity in readiness for increased generation. Neither has its System Operations (SO) department, responsible for stabilising operations, upgraded its frequency management and switching capabilities, but still relies on manual switching instead of investing in Supervisory Control and Data Acquisition (SCADA) systems that respond swiftly to changing grid frequencies.
It was not surprising therefore that a usual process fluctuation that came from uploading increased power generation into the national grid had overwhelmed SO’s manual switching capability, leading to the grid collapse of October, although Minster of Power alluded to the fact that the inability of TCN’s aged infrastructure to absorb extra power caused explosions at Jebba sub-station, leading to instabilities that collapsed the grid. Which ever be the case, the buck stops at the TCN, and by extension at government. One may then question the benefits derivable from contracts signed by the Buhari administration with Siemens of Germany in 2019. System automation is undeniably the core expertise of Siemens, and the deployment of the company’s switches would have handled grid fluctuations to prevent any collapse. Despite the huge budget allocations that go into the ministry of power, it is obvious that government processes – encumbered by bureaucracy, politics, paucity of funds and lack of business savvy – is entangling TCN’s abilities at keeping pace with its private partners.
So why should government create such a clog in the wheels of progress? Moreso, it has never been known that government declared financial profits from its years of investments in the power sector, nor are the social benefits apparent. Rather than hold unto an asset that continuously drains scarce finances at no benefits, while creating bottlenecks to processes, government should completely hands-off the industry, focus on its regulatory roles, and draw tax accruals. According to estimates by the World Bank, the failure of reliable power supplies in Nigeria costs yearly losses of $29 billion to companies who had to produce their own power, and is a major reason most companies close down in the country, or have migrated elsewhere, despite our human resource potentials and Nigeria being a huge market. The current Nigeria Electricity Supply Industry (NESI) structure, in which government-owned TCN is sandwiched between disunited GenCos and DisCos, is causing conflict of interests, unsustainable and ensures a tie of stagnation.
The electricity production framework should be restructured, even if it means partitioning the national grid, into a form that gives power companies combined and seamless abilities to generate, transmit and distribute power directly to their consumers, as being experimented by the Geometric Group in Aba.
Joseph Nwankwor
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