2027 is sealed for Mr. President. When I say 18 over 18, it means we are going to deliver our 18 local governments to Mr. President.”
Reading the above statement by the governor of Edo State, Mr. Monday Okpebholo, one wonders what the future holds for Nigeria’s democracy. In any true democracy, the power to elect leaders rests solely in the hands of the people. This principle is the foundation of democracy, ensuring that governance is based on the will of the majority rather than the rule of a single individual or a privileged few. Unfortunately, in Nigeria political elites and influential figures attempt to manipulate the electoral process, undermining the will of the citizens. We often hear governors and some other politicians talking tough, boasting of how they would sweep all votes in an election. This practice not only weakens democracy but also fosters corruption, inefficiency, and a disconnect between leadership and the people’s actual needs.
Such statements suggest a predetermined outcome of an election rather than a free and fair electoral process. And in a democratic society such as our, this has several implications. Firstly, there is a threat to free and fair elections. Democracy thrives on competitive, transparent, and credible elections where citizens freely choose their leaders. The claim that all votes will go to one candidate suggests electoral manipulation, coercion, or suppression of opposition. Secondly, it portrays a disregard for voter choice. It is said that in a democracy, the electorates are the kings because they are supposed to have the power to determine who sits on any political seat. But when a governor claims that the votes to be cast in his state in the next two years are already meant for a particular candidate, it suggests that the election result is already determined, it makes voters feel powerless and discouraged to participate in politics.
Statements and actions like Okpobholo’s erode political pluralism. Democracy requires multiple parties competing fairly. Declaring total victory before an election dismisses the role of opposition parties and reduces political competition to a mere formality. The statement also raises concerns about potential election rigging, vote-buying, or manipulation of electoral institutions to favor one candidate, which damages public trust in the democratic system. If there are no plans to commit these electoral offences, how possible is it that all the numerous opposition parties, including the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) which just handed over power to the ruling party in Edo State will not win even a single local government area?
This idea of a government in power winning elections at all cost and making elections in Nigeria less competitive and predetermined outcomes is the reason institutions like the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC), judiciary, and security agencies are seen as compromised.
This, no doubt, weakens our democracy. Another implication of Okpobholo’s rhetoric is that it can provoke political unrest, resistance from opposition parties, and loss of faith in democratic processes, leading to increased instability and potential conflicts. Nigeria is already soaked with too much political and economic tensions and cannot afford to have more due to the selfish interest of a few individuals. Another troubling trend is the growing influence of governors, party leaders, and other politicians in handpicking candidates for elections. Instead of allowing a free and fair process where citizens decide, these power brokers often impose their preferred candidates, who may not necessarily represent the interests of the people. Such interference leads to a leadership that is accountable not to the electorate but to the few individuals who orchestrated their rise to power.
Have we not seen enough of this in display where elected lawmakers both on the federal and state levels would choose to do the biddings of their masters in the executive arm of government over the interest of Nigerians who elected them? Former President, Olusegun Obasanjo while speaking on the failure of democracy in Africa recently aptly defined what we currently have in Nigeria thus, “Today we have democracy which is government of the people, of a small number of people, by a small number of people over a large number of people who are deprived of what they need to have in life.” Some people have come heavily on the former president and the former governor of Anambra State, Peter Obi who shared the same sentiment for daring to criticize the present-day practice of democracy in Nigeria when in their days in offices some of their actions accountable and effective leadership.
Additionally, the legal framework governing elections should be strengthened to ensure transparency. INEC and the states’ electoral umpire free from political interference, must oversee the entire process, guaranteeing that every vote counts and that the people’s choices are respected. Political parties should also be mandated to conduct primaries that genuinely reflect the will of their members, rather than serving as a mere formality for predetermined outcomes.Our elected leaders across board should be advised to face governance and deliver the dividends of democracy to Nigerians who put them in office instead of politicking all the time. It is about two years to the next general elections and the major preoccupation of the leaders seems to be plans and scheming of how to come back in office in 2027 instead of dealing with economic, insecurity, unemployment and other challenges facing the country. How can Nigeria move forward like that?

Calista Ezeaku

Look before you leap”, is one of the wise sayings that over the years I have been emotionally attached to. It means so much to me because the debilitating consequences of unguided actions are better imagined than experienced. “Look before you Leap” teaches me to  be thoughtful,  articulate, discreet dispassionate and solicit for advice of the experienced and reasonable people where necessary. I have seen people  reveal their stark ignorance because they took decisions rashly and without  considering the implications of their actions or inactions, only to say, “had I known” which is an euphemism for failure. It has therefore, become  necessary to “look before you leap”. Rehoboam, son of Bible’s King Solomon lost 10 of a 12-tribe kingdom of lsrael to Jeroboam. The negative consequences of lack of conscientious and enlightened  guide before taking action has landed many to avoidable regrets.
Thoughtless actions happen every day and they are evidenced in the unpleasant outcomes of such decision. In 2024, a Federal High Court, Abuja sacked 20 Cross River State House of Assembly members which serves as an object lesson for thoughtless Lawmakers’ and elected representatives who want to defect from the party on whose platform they were elected to a preferred political party, whether the choice was based on sound judgement, ignorance or pecuniary gains. The Electoral Act is unambiguous and crystal clear so does not make judicial interpretation necessary, on the ground for an elected representative to leave his or her political party for a preferred one either by inducement, anticipated pecuniary benefits or blind loyalty.And the sublime reason must be premised on irreconcilable crisis in the  political party of  those elected who want to decamp or cross-carpet
Recall that on Monday  March 18, 2024 a Federal High Court in Abuja  sacked 20 members of the Cross River State House of Assembly. The Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) had instituted a suit against the lawmakers over their defection to the All Progressives Congress (APC). Ruling on the case marked “FHC/ABJ/CS/975/2021 , Taiwo Taiwo, the presiding judge, held that the lawmakers should vacate their seats, having abandoned the political party that sponsored them to power. The affected lawmakers are: Michael Etaba, Legor Idagbor, Eteng Jonah William, Joseph A. Bassey, Odey Peter Agbe, Okon E. Ephraim, Regina L. Anyogo, Matthew S. Olory, Ekpo Ekpo Bassey, Ogbor Ogbor Udop and Ekpe Charles Okon.Others are Hillary Ekpang Bisong, Francis B. Asuquo, Elvert Ayambem, Davis Etta, Sunday U. Achunekan, Cynthia Nkasi, Edward Ajang, Chris Nja-Mbu Ogar and Maria Akwaji.
The Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC), Speaker of the House of Representatives, National Assembly, Clerk of the National Assembly, Cross River State House of Assembly, Clerk of the Cross River State House of Assembly and the All Progressives Congress, were also joined as defendants in the suit. Though, in their defence, the lawmakers argued that there was rancour in the Peoples Democratic Party  (PDP),which led to their expulsion from the party,  the judge held that the defendants had intentions to mislead the court. He said he found gaps and loopholes in their defence as they tried to twist events to suit their own narratives.”They wined and dined under the umbrella of the plaintiff who also gave them shelter,” he said Taiwo noted that they not only defected loudly, “they took pictures of their defection and were received by the officials of the 26th defendant”.
“There is no doubt that the defendants can belong to or join any political association and assembly as they are free to do so,” he ruled. “I consider the attempts of the 6th – 25th defendants to justify their defection feeble in the circumstances of this case.” Taiwo said the public voted for the lawmakers through the plaintiff who sponsored them and they were not elected as independent candidates.”They had a vehicle which conveyed them and that vehicle belongs to the plaintiff. They cannot abandon the vehicle,” he held. Justice Taiwo’s judgment and several other judgments on thoughtless defections should have been a basis, landmark and precedent to determine whether the 27 Rivers State House of Assembly members elected on the platform of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), have the locus to publicly decamp to the All  Progressives Congress (APC) and still retain their seats in the House as elected and honourable  members of the House as declared by the Supreme Court in its Judgment on consolidated suits on the political crisis in Rivers State.
The judgment of the “learned” justices of the Supreme Court on the 27 defectors is a bitter pill to swallow. It is however, not a surprise because the aroma of the fart tells the substance of the poo. The wise man learns from the experiences of others and  history. History repeats itself because people have refused to come to understanding. They are close-ended in learning. The essence of history is to avoid a reinvent of the negative past, use the ugly past to reconstruct the future. Legislators are elected to represent constituency consisting of people of all walks of life. They should rather strive to serve the people, solicit the consent of popular opinions on critical issues rather than serving their selfish interests. Those elected should see themselves as stewards and as stewards they are accountable to the people and God, not their political godfather.
It is high time our political leaders knew that the legitimacy of their positions is derived from the magnanimity of the people. They should therefore not take decisions without taking into cognisance the interest of the people they are representing,  through intentional consultation.

By: Igbiki Benibo

Of late, Nigerian  Customs Services have been fighting the act of smuggling taking place at the Nigeria’s  borders with the neighbouring countries. Smuggling of petroleum  products and  other goods out of Nigeria is a threat to local consumption of any product produced locally. Smuggling has done more harm than good to Nigerians and Nigeria as a country. The rate at which petroleum products are smuggled out of Nigeria is alarming. Smugglers always re-strategise to beat the customs officers on duty and have their ways through the borders. Yes, it was revealed few years ago, that the borders of Nigeria with other countries are so porous, that smugglers have easy escape routes to other countries. Today, petroleum products are not sufficient to sustain the internal needs of most Nigerians. If smuggling be allowed to continue without check, it will lead to severe economic crisis.
Smuggling is a serious menace to the economic development of Nigeria. It is a name synonymous with petroleum products.  Nigeria, being a major player in oil industry in the world, is seriously facing uncontrollable smuggling activities by smugglers. Inspite of the efforts of the Customs and the Immigration Services at  working hard to curtail the excesses of smugglers,  corruption in the oil sector seems to have provided a thriving ground for  smuggling activities to remain unabated. Few weeks ago, Nigerian Customs  apprehended smugglers with over two thousand Jerry cans loaded with petrol in Nasarawa State. The product was confiscated and taken to a filling station where it was sold at a cheaper rate of five hundred naira, per litre.  Some time it is difficult for seizure of smuggled products to take place because of corruption.
Smugglers are strategists who can maneuver through the borders, not minding the penalty of the offence. Activities of smugglers lead to high cost  of commodities in the markets. It gives room to quick gains, thereby giving room for skyrocketed price of  smuggled goods. Again, the activities of smugglers lead to scarcity of products that should be available in the country. The land and water border towns are where smugglers move the products to other countries. Sometimes high level compromise frustrates the combat against smuggling of products. The network of smugglers is so sophisticated to burst. Some of them are highly connected to those in authority, thereby making the war against smuggling a fruitless one. Smuggling activities are undermining even circulation of some locally produced goods in Nigeria.
According to AI overview, smuggling of petroleum products can have significant negative effects including: substantial loss of government revenue from taxes, depletion of natural resources, destabilisation of activities, fuel shortages in the exporting  country, environmental damage due to improper storage and transportation, and potential for price distortions in receiving markets due to influx of cheap smuggled fuel. Indeed, weak border control  is another  problem of poor border security and inadequate monitoring systems can facilitate smuggling activities. And another factor that promotes smuggling is price disparities. When there is a large price difference between a country producing petroleum and neighbouring countries, it stimulates smuggling.
Other social impacts; funding criminal activities; profits from petroleum smuggling often fund organised crime networks and terrorist activities. Corruption is not left out. Smuggling often involves collusion with corrupt officials undermining public trust in institutions. It is also dangerous to the environment. For instance, smuggled petroleum products are often stored and transported in substandard conditions, increasing the risk of spills and leaks, causing environmental contamination. Illegal pipeline tapping is another dangerous trend; in some cases, smuggling can involve tapping into oil pipelines, which can lead to significant environmental damage.Indeed, governments lose significant income from taxes on legally sold petroleum products when they are smuggled out. Again, smuggling can disrupt the normal supply and demand dynamics of the petroleum market, leading to price fluctuations and shortages.
It undermines fuel subsidy programme. When a country like Nigeria subsidises fuel, smuggling can exacerbate the issue by allowing people to buy subsidised fuel at a low price and sell it at a higher price in other countries Hence, there is need for the governments to combat and eradicate smuggling in the petroleum sector. Strengthening border controls; increasing border controls implementing advanced monitoring technologies and improving customs procedures can help deter smuggling. Thus, there is need for price harmonisation. Reducing price discrepancies between countries can lessen the incentive for smuggling. International co-operation is crucial to combat cross-border smuggling operations. Smuggling of petroleum products is a threat to the economic development of the citizens and Nigeria. Therefore, say no to smuggling of petroleum products in Nigeria.
Ogwuonuonu writes from Port Harcourt.

By: Frank Enewaji Ogwuonuonu