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Editorial

Towards Realistic Oil Benchmark For 2015 Budget

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When on December 16, last year, the
Presidency forwarded its 2015
Budget estimates to the two chambers of the National Assembly, it recommended $65 per barrel as oil benchmark. That was the third time the budget estimates would be reviewed downwards on account of falling price of the commodity.
The first Medium Term Expenditure Framework (MTEF) had a budget benchmark of $78 a barrel and was submitted to the National Assembly on September 30, 2014. Shortly thereafter, oil prices fell further, leading to a second review of the oil benchmark price in the MTEF to $73 per barrel which was re-submitted to the National Assembly on November 18, 2014.
However, following that, the decision of OPEC at its meeting in Vienna on November 27, 2014 not to cut production to support the price led to further fall in the oil price to below $70 per barrel. That resulted in another downward revision of the benchmark to $65 per barrel and a revised MTEF which was again submitted to the lawmakers on December 2, 2014.
Like the fluctuations that characterized the benchmark, the initial budget proposal also fell from N4.82 trillion to N4.66 trillion. In presenting the proposals, on behalf of President Goodluck Jonathan, the Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, Dr. Ngosi Okonjo-Iweala expressed the optimism that oil prices would  soon stabilize and range  between US $65 and US $70 a barrel in 2015.
“We would like to confirm that having submitted these budget estimates, we are not proposing further revision of the oil benchmark price. Though prices continue to be extremely volatile at present and to trend further downwards, there are indications based on price intelligence we have at this time that prices may range between  US $65 – US $70 a barrel in 2015,” the minister said.
Strangely however, oil prices slummed to all- time low of below $50 per barrel early 2015, thus making non-sense of the minister’s optimism. And this means that the $65 per barrel benchmark has also become unrealistic as a template for  working on the 2015 budget.
Also, the budget was predicated on an exchange rate of N165 to the Dollar, a speculation that also falls in the face as the Dollar presently exchanges for more than N192. All these make the estimates of the 2015 budget even more unrealistic.
What is required, therefore, is for the Presidency to take another look at the estimates, review them downwards, eliminate possible wastes and come up with more realistic benchmark for oil based on prevailing circumstances. No budget should be based on hope as was the last review.
More importantly, federal and state governments must urgently  consider diversification as a priority and build the necessary framework for the growth and development of the non-oil sector. As it is, a continued dependence on oil and gas would be injurious to both the economy and Nigerians.
We expect that this will be done before the National Assembly resumes plenary to prevent the familiar late passage of our annual budgets.
The 2015 budget must take into cognizance the urgent need to develop necessary infrastructure for the production of refined products from crude oil  and avoid further wastes in the importation of finished products from those who determine the price of our crude.
Budget planners need to consider more resources towards the production of by-products from crude oil for both local consumption and the West Africa  Markets . A country of more than 170 million people is indeed a viable market for such by-products from crude, and should not be ignored.
The country needs to expand its petro-chemical investment and give extra attention to agricultural and tourism development as necessary alternatives to oil. These are the only ways of checking the pinch from the ever sliding price of Nigerian crude oil in the global market.

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Editorial

Reforming Nigeria’s Prison Crises

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The news of the Koton Karfe prison break in Kogi State, were met with a degree of resignation, underscores a
deeply troubling and recurrent crisis within Nigeria’s correctional system. The escape of 12 inmates, despite the swift recapture of a few, serves as a reminder of the vulnerabilities plaguing these facilities. This incident is not an isolated event, but rather the latest chapter in a well-documented history of prison breaches across the country.
From the Ikoyi riot in 2004 to the more recent, and devastating, escapes linked to the #EndSARS protests, the pattern is clear: Nigerian prisons are struggling to maintain security and prevent inmates from absconding. The chilling detail of an escaped inmate immediately murdering a witness further highlights the grave consequences and potential societal impact of these failures. The sheer scale of the problem, with over 5,238 inmates escaping during 15 jailbreaks in just two years, demands urgent and comprehensive attention.
Nigeria’s correctional system is in dire need of comprehensive and urgent reform, as evidenced by a confluence of deeply troubling issues. Senate President Godswill Akpabio’s observation regarding the increased frequency of jailbreaks since the transition from Nigeria Prisons Service to Nigeria Correctional Service highlights a systemic failure in maintaining secure facilities and rehabilitative programmes.
Furthermore, public trust is eroded by credibility crises, such as the alleged premature release of crossdresser Bobrisky in 2024, suggesting potential corruption or preferential treatment within the system. Adding to this already alarming situation is the overwhelming number of awaiting-trial inmates. Of the approximately 79,863 individuals currently incarcerated, a staggering 70 per cent (53,254) are yet to be convicted, pointing to severe inefficiencies and delays within the judicial process.
Perhaps, most damning is the revelation that children constitute a reported 30 per cent of the correctional population, a statistic that shames the nation and underscores the urgent need for age-appropriate justice and rehabilitation mechanisms, moving away from simply warehousing vulnerable youth within an overburdened and ineffective system.
The penal system, fundamentally toxic at its core, suffers from a crippling combination of systemic neglect and inherent flaws. Severely underfunded and perpetually overcrowded, prisons are often characterised by crumbling infrastructure, inadequate healthcare access, and absence of meaningful rehabilitation programmes. This confluence of detrimental factors cultivates an inhumane environment that actively undermines any potential for reform, instead fostering resentment and potentially hardening inmates into more serious criminals.
The strain on resources is painfully evident even in the most basic provisions, clearly illustrated by the inadequacy of feeding allowances. While the Federal Government’s recent increase of the daily allowance from N750 to N1,125 per inmate represents a step forward, it remains grossly insufficient to provide proper nutrition, showing the pervasive and deeply ingrained nature of the problem.
The justice system is plagued by systemic inefficiencies and ethical breaches, which creates a breeding ground for injustice and exacerbating societal problems. Unacceptable delays bog down the courts, compounded by archaic manual record-keeping systems that lead to lost files and impede the swift administration of justice. The integrity of evidence is further compromised by the alleged admission of forced confessions without proper verification, raising serious concerns about due process.
This flawed system allows for the regular arrest and detention of innocent individuals, who then suffer the indignity of prolonged incarceration. Compounding these issues are credible reports of dehumanising treatment of detainees, and allegations of collusion between security agents and magistrates to unlawfully prolong custody. These failures erode public trust and create a dangerous cycle, plausibly contributing to the rise in violent crime as prison escapees, potentially radicalised or hardened by their experiences, may resort to armed robbery, banditry, terrorism, and kidnapping.
The justice system’s deep-seated flaws cultivate a breeding ground for further crime and erode public safety. Crippled by systemic delays, reliance on antiquated manual processes, and the alarming acceptance of potentially coerced confessions, the system frequently fails to deliver justice and protect the innocent. The routine arrest of innocent individuals, followed by prolonged and unjust detention, points to a broken process ripe for exploitation. Dehumanising treatment within detention facilities, coupled with alleged collusion between security agents and magistrates to circumvent due process, fosters a climate of mistrust and fuels resentment.
This dysfunction extends beyond individual injustices, potentially contributing to broader societal problems. The escape of prisoners, some of whom may then engage in violent crimes demonstrates the tangible threat these failures pose to public safety. The tragic events at St. Francis Catholic Church in Owo, allegedly perpetrated by escaped ISWAP members, serve as an illustration of the devastating consequences stemming from a broken and permeable justice system.
The Nigerian prison system faces a multitude of challenges, but glimmers of hope shine through. The graduation of 1,229 inmates from the National Open University of Nigeria serves as powerful evidence of rehabilitation’s potential when individuals are afforded proper educational opportunities. To further bolster this potential and address systemic issues, a shift towards true federalism with devolved prison management is necessary.
If states and local government areas establish their own custodial centres, a decentralised system can be created where suspects are housed closer to their respective jurisdictions, potentially easing overcrowding at the federal level. Simultaneously, the Federal Government must deliver on its promise to construct new custodial centres and relocate existing ones from densely populated areas. This infrastructural improvement, coupled with a rigorous vetting process to prevent wrongful incarceration, will significantly reduce the burden on the system.
Nigeria should look beyond its borders, studying and adopting best practices in prison modernisation from countries with successful rehabilitation-focused correctional systems. By prioritising rehabilitation over mere punishment, and implementing strategic reforms, Nigeria can transform its correctional system into one that fosters positive change and contributes to a safer society.

 

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Editorial

Easter: A Call For National Renewal

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Yesterday was Easter Sunday, a day when Christians around the world celebrate their belief that Jesus Christ rose from the dead after being crucified and buried. The day is a moment for deep reflection and spiritual renewal. The Lenten season before Easter promotes self-examination, fasting, and prayers to help believers grow closer to God. This time of reflection leads to the joyful celebration of resurrection. The Risen Christ represents hope and the promise of life after death, highlighting themes of love, sacrifice, forgiveness, and reconciliation.
For those who truly understand Easter as celebrating life’s victory over death, the resurrection of Jesus of Nazareth—unjustly executed by Roman authorities—represents justice overcoming injustice, love conquering hatred, and divine compassion transcending human malice. This Easter message challenges humanity broadly and Nigerians specifically. Amid politics often devoid of morality, Easter calls us to prioritise the power of love over the love of power.
This year, Nigerians marked Easter amid a climate of insecurity, with citizens facing abduction for ransom on streets and from homes, and murder on farms and in places of worship. For many years, Nigeria has been entombed in darkness of injustice, sealed with the heavy stone of oppression. This oppression weighs down millions of citizens, preventing them from realising their God-given potential. Our national history reflects disturbing uncertainty and unnecessary, avoidable hardship for many.
Many individuals who pursue or currently occupy positions of public office have unfortunately succumbed to a distinctive form of blindness that accompanies power—a perceptual impairment that renders them unable to recognise a fundamental truth: that no nation built upon the foundation of injustice can truly endure or thrive in the long term. This deliberate refusal to see reality clearly has, over generations, enabled and perpetuated destructive cycles of inadequate governance, institutional failure, and widespread suffering among the very populations these officials have sworn to serve.
Beyond Easter’s religious festivities, we must confront the reality that our population has often fallen prey to dubious religiosity, fake patriotism, and criminally deceitful politics. Nigeria stands as a land immensely blessed by the Creator yet mindlessly damaged by negative attitudes of both leaders and citizens. Despite abundant natural endowments, our country remains populated by impoverished people.
An alarming number of young Nigerians are succumbing to despair. They see no future in their homeland and actively seek opportunities to leave a country that offers little hope to its children. Yet, Nigeria can and should rise from this tomb of hopelessness—Easter’s celebration symbolises precisely this restoration of hope in seemingly impossible circumstances.
Our collective hope must be rekindled and nurtured back to full strength. All Nigerians—from those in the highest positions of leadership to everyday citizens in communities across the nation—need to work diligently and conscientiously toward rebuilding and restoring genuine hope for the younger generation who represent our future. This essential task requires tangible, meaningful actions that clearly demonstrate a sincere commitment to positive, sustainable change rather than continuing the pattern of empty rhetoric and unfulfilled promises that has too often characterised past efforts.
If we genuinely wish to celebrate Jesus’ resurrection and apply its meaning to our national situation, we must resolve to operate differently. We must commit to building a nation where oppression has no place, where elections proceed without acrimony or ethnic profiling, where voter intimidation and vote buying are eliminated, and where results reflect the true will of the people.
Easter encapsulates the profound message of new beginnings and spiritual renewal, challenging us to apply these transformative principles to the rebirth of Nigeria by wholeheartedly embracing and actualising our lofty ideals. Indeed, the generations yet unborn, who will inherit the Nigeria we shape today through our actions and commitments, deserve nothing less than a thoroughly transformed country that lives up to its full potential as the giant of Africa.
For this new Nigeria to emerge, each citizen must commit to living with a completely renewed attitude. We must embrace transformation at both personal and collective levels. The journey toward national renewal begins with individual change—in our homes, workplaces, and communities. Easter should be understood not merely as a celebration but as a sacred obligation to our nation and one another. It represents a profound opportunity for rebirth and restoration. Just as the Easter story speaks of sacrifice leading to new life, our nation requires our collective sacrifice and dedication to experience true renewal.
This season imposes upon us the responsibility to rise from the dark tomb into which greed and selfishness have pushed us, embracing a new life dedicated to truth, goodness, and love. If Nigerians continue with business as usual—maintaining corrupt practices and self-serving attitudes—there would be no legitimate cause for celebration. Indeed, the true meaning of Easter for Nigeria lies not in festivities alone but in our collective determination to resurrect our nation from its current challenges toward a brighter, more hopeful future.

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Editorial

NAFDAC’s Destruction Of Counterfeit Drugs

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Last Friday, the National Agency for Food and Drug Administration and Control (NAFDAC) destroyed fake, counterfeit and substandard drugs worth over N1 trillion in Awka, the Anambra State capital. Recall that for one month, NAFDAC shut the Onitsha Drug Market, restricting shop owners from coming to the market, barricading it with military personnel, while officials broke into and ransacked shops in search of fake drugs.
NAFDAC’s Zonal Director for South-East, Dr. Martin Iluyomade, revealed some of the drugs destroyed to include Analgin, Tramadol, and various paediatric pharmaceuticals, which had been stored in prohibited areas or were banned by the World Health Organisation (WHO). Iluyomade said the closure and raids of the markets where the drugs were confiscated was in response to public complaints regarding the prevalence of fake, substandard and counterfeit drugs in the South-East.
He said: “Many of these drugs are banned, such as Analgin and certain paediatric medications, and they were stored in places that violate WHO regulations. It is our responsibility to ensure that these products are safe and fit for human consumption. These drugs were transported in a 140-foot truck, valued at over N1trillion, and were supposed to be stored at specific temperatures. However, they were kept in markets that do not meet the required standards.
“The volume of drugs found in these two markets could destabilise the country, and many of these are narcotic drugs associated with criminal activities. People who consume these drugs are not only harming themselves but also using them to commit crimes, which contributes to the growing insecurity in our country.”
Unfortunately, that is the chilling reality of counterfeit drugs, and it is a problem NAFDAC is relentlessly fighting. This dramatic action underscores the monumental scale of the problem and the unwavering commitment of NAFDAC to protect public health. The massive destruction highlights the pervasive nature of the counterfeit drug trade and the resources NAFDAC dedicates to combatting it.
Counterfeit drugs are dangerous, even deadly. They can contain the wrong dosage, the wrong active ingredients, or even harmful substances. Imagine taking a pill you believe will cure your illness, only to find it contains something entirely different – something that could worsen human condition or even kill. That is the terrifying reality of the counterfeit drug market.
The insidious world of counterfeit medications poses a grave threat, as these fake drugs often harbour toxic fillers or entirely different, untested chemicals. The consumption of such substances can trigger a cascade of adverse reactions, varying from minor allergic responses to catastrophic organ failure, leaving vulnerable individuals severely harmed. In this critical battle for public health, NAFDAC stands as our frontline defender.
Through tireless monitoring, rigorous inspections, and decisive action against those who peddle these dangerous fakes, NAFDAC acts as a vital gatekeeper, ensuring the safety and efficacy of the medications we depend on. Supporting NAFDAC’s mission is paramount, as it directly equates to safeguarding the lives and well-being of our Nigerians by preventing the proliferation of these harmful and potentially lethal counterfeit medications.
Given the breadth and criticality of NAFDAC’s mandate – regulating everything from food and drugs to cosmetics and medical devices – it is imperative that the Federal Government bolsters the agency’s resources and capabilities. This monumental task, encompassing the entire lifecycle of regulated products from importation to usage, demands substantial investment in infrastructure, advanced technological tools, and a highly skilled workforce.
Under-resourcing NAFDAC risks compromising its ability to effectively monitor and enforce regulations, potentially leading to substandard or counterfeit products entering the market, with devastating consequences for public health and safety. Therefore, increased funding, enhanced training programmes, and optimised operational systems are essential to fortify the agency’s effectiveness and ensure it can continue to protect the Nigerian populace.
No doubt, NAFDAC currently faces numerous hurdles in fulfilling its mandate. These challenges range from inadequate funding and outdated equipment to a lack of personnel and poor training. Insufficient funding directly translates to limited capacity for effective inspection, testing, and enforcement. Imagine trying to police a vast country with only a handful of officers – the task becomes virtually impossible. This lack of resources allows substandard and even dangerous products to enter the market, posing serious risks to public health.
The Federal Government must prioritise NAFDAC’s needs and take decisive action to support, equip, and empower this vital agency. NAFDAC is a cornerstone of public health in Nigeria and its health and economic well-being depend on its support. By providing financial, technological, and human resources, the government can strengthen the organisation’s capacity to protect Nigerians and contribute to national development. Tinubu’s administration must ensure that NAFDAC had the tools it needs to succeed. The lives of millions depend on it.

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