Business
Financial Experts Decry Budget Delay …Say It Threatens ERG Implementation
Two financial experts in Lagos State have said that the delay in passing the 2018 Budget could undermine the effective implementation of the Economic Recovery and Growth Plan (ERGP).
The experts, who spoke with The Tide source, said that the delay in the passage. by the National Assembly, could hinder implementation of projects critical to economic diversification.
Head of Banking and Finance Department, Nasarawa State University, Keffi, Dr Uche Uwaleke, said that the Budget of Consolidation was developed in line with the Federal Government’s ERGP designed to make the economy more diversified.
According to him, the delay rubbishes budget assumptions and renders unrealistic, targets such as the gross domestic product growth of 3.5 per cent.
He said that planned investments in agriculture and infrastructure, in particular, could be hampered, adding that the delay could also hinder job creation.
“This development does not augur well for the stock market, as share prices of firms in the agriculture sector, industrial goods sector and construction sector will be worst hit,” Uwaleke said.
According to Uwaleke, the delay can also adversely affect timely payment of contractors and increase the chances of non-performing loans in banks which will negatively affect their share values.
“If the delay drags on for too long, it can heighten uncertainty in the market.
“It has the potential to scare away foreign investors whose presence is being felt now due to the current investors’ confidence in the country’s economy following recovery in crude oil price,” Uwaleke said.
Professor of Economics, Olabisi Onabanjo University, Ago-Iwoye, Ogun State, Sheriffdeen Tella, said that the delay in passing the budget, in spite its early submission by the executive, exposed the “lackadaisical attitude of our leaders toward national issues’’.
The professor of economics said that the legislature indicated from the onset that it was not in hurry to consider and approve the budget.
“From December 2017, those who are directly in charge of the budget consideration had told the public that serious work would not commence until 2018.
“The position was not helped by the bureaucratic personnel who did not appear before the National Assembly Committee as and when scheduled,’’ he said.
He said that early passage of the budget would positively impact on the economy just coming out of recession and needed injection of funds to accelerate the recovery process.
Tella said that uncertainty of the past weeks in the stock market might continue until the passage of the budget.
He noted that activities in the capital market were often influenced by fiscal policies and activities of government and the Central Bank of Nigeria.
President Muhammadu Buhari had on November 7, 2017, presented the 2018 Budget of N8.612 trillion to a joint session of the National Assembly.
Buhari said at the presentation that the budget would drive rapid economic recovery.
Business
CBN Predicts 4.17% GDP Growth In 2025
The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has announced that the 2025 economic indices indicate a positive outlook, with the nation’s GDP expected to accelerate to 4.17 per cent for faster economic growth.
Mr Muhammad Abdullahi, Deputy Governor, Economic Policy Directorate, CBN, revealed this on Tuesday during the 11th edition of the National Economic Outlook: Implications for Businesses in 2025.
The hybrid event, convened in Lagos, was organised by the Chartered Institute of Bankers of Nigeria (CIBN) Centre for Financial Studies in collaboration with B. Adedipe Associates Ltd.
Abdullahi said the nation’s 2025 economic projections remained optimistic with fiscal and monetary reforms already paying off, resulting in the GDP anticipated rise from 3.36 per cent recorded in 2024.
According to him, the growth is anchored on sustained implementation of government reforms, stable crude oil prices, and improvements in domestic oil production.
Abdullahi also stated that stability in the exchange rate would play a crucial role in maintaining the positive trajectory, with the inflation rate projected to decline due to the impact of economic reforms.
“Achieving the targeted inflation rate of 15 per cent in 2025 will require effective collaboration between monetary and fiscal authorities, alongside private sector participation for a stable economic environment,” he said.
The keynote speaker said that the apex bank would prioritise price stability and strengthen the financial sector to support SMEs and critical sectors for businesses to thrive.
Abdullahi noted that the nation’s evolving policy landscape presented both challenges and opportunities for businesses to thrive.
“The government is making deliberate strides to diversify its revenue streams and reduce dependence on the volatile oil sector.
“Through ongoing tax reforms aimed at broadening the tax base and improving collection efficiency, the government is working to establish a more sustainable fiscal environment.
“While these reforms may present challenges in the short term, they are essential for building a more resilient and diversified economy in the long run.
“As businesses, it is crucial to adapt to these changes, understanding that they will ultimately strengthen the economic foundation for future growth.
“As we move forward on this path of exploration and collaboration, we must remain focused on the vast opportunities before us.
“Nigeria’s abundant resources, coupled with the current administration’s commitment to economic reform, offer a fertile ground for innovation, investment, and sustainable growth,” Abdullahi said.
Similarly, Prof. Pius Olanrewaju, President/Chairman of the Council, Chartered Institute of Bankers of Nigeria (CIBN), said 2024 presented both challenges and opportunities.
He noted that the GDP signalled gradual recovery amidst global and domestic pressures.
“As we move into 2025, we are presented with both the opportunity and responsibility to critically examine the economic landscape.
“This forum will help us identify the risks, harness the opportunities, and strategize for the future,” Olarenwaju noted.
He commended the collaboration of experts at the annual event, which included Dr Kabir Katata, Director, Research, Policy and International Relations, Nigeria Deposit Insurance Corporation; and Dr Henrietta Onwuegbuzie of the Lagos Business School.
Others were Akinsola Akeredolu-Ale, CEO, Lagos Commodities and Fixtures Exchange; Mr Akeem Lawal, Managing Director Interswitch (Pure pay); and Chinwe Uzoho, Regional Managing Director, West and Central Africa Network International.
Business
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