Housing/Property
Bank Loans To Real Estate Industry Drop By N162bn
Credit allocation by banks to the real estate industry has maintained a downward trend in the last one year.
Data obtained from the National Bureau of Statistics showed that the industry got about N622bn out of the N15.13tn credit to the private sector in the last quarter of 2018.
The amount, which accounted for 4.12 per cent of the total credit to the private sector, was about 12.39 per cent lower than the N710bn recorded in the third quarter of 2018.
In the first and second quarters of 2018, N784bn and N744bn, respectively, were given out by banks to the industry.
The first quarter of 2018 saw growth in credit allocation to the industry when the amount rose to N784bn, up from the N753bn recorded in the last quarter of 2017.
However, the comparison between the first and last quarters of 2018 showed a drop of about N162bn.
Stakeholders in the industry said it had become increasingly difficult to access commercial banks’ loans for investment in real estate.
Investigations revealed that in the last two years, it had been difficult for many developers to break even due to the glut in the property market, which had led to the high rate of default on loans.
It was gathered that commercial banks were no longer interested in financing real estate projects, and had not been putting their money in the industry for a while.
The Deputy President, Real Estate Developers Association of Nigeria, Mr Akintoye Adeoye, said, “If you go to any bank today and tell them you want to finance real estate development, they will not talk to you because they have had their fingers burnt.”
Adeoye stated that from the glut in the property market due to low purchasing power, interest rate, which he said was around 25 to 35 per cent, had also been a major clog in the wheel of real estate funding.
“Housing is long-term, so it is a mismatch to use a short-term fund to finance a long-term project. Now, banks are not places to go to except on some special projects where the off-takers are members of a cooperative society and they already know how to wrap up the transaction but it will also be expensive for the buyers because the cost of funds will be transferred to them,” he said.
The Chairman, Nigerian Institution of Estate Surveyors and Valuers, Lagos Branch, Mr Rogba Orimalade, stated that from the period the economy went into recession till now, commercial banks had been saddled with the burden of disposing of huge real estate assets acquired through bad loans.
Orimalade said this had made many of the banks wary of investing their money in real estate projects.
He added, “From the period of the recession and even before, we came from an era where the banks had lots of assets, at a particular time the Asset Management Corporation of Nigeria was said to be the biggest custodian of real estate assets in the country and it was mainly because of the bad loans that emanated from the banks they took over. Most of the assets were taken away from the people who gave them out as collateral.
“So, naturally, only very few of them are out giving loans. It is only common sense for a lot of those banks and other financial institutions to look at the amount that they give out. To a lot of them, the industry is not attractive anymore.
He, however, stated that the question should not be about the reduced credit allocation to the industry but rather it should be about what should be done to grow the country’s economy through housing .
“Government says all the time that it wants to grow the economy but the economy cannot really grow without a thriving housing sector; that is the reality. Just as the government is giving priority to agriculture and the Central Bank of Nigeria and other banks are being compelled to give certain loans to agric and SMEs, it is important that the government recognises that housing is key to growing the economy,” he said.
According to him, once housing is taken care of, about 70 per cent of the issues in the economy will be addressed with the potential of the industry to have a multiplier effect on other industries.
Orimalade said, “Until the government recognises and puts a premium on houses, the economy may not really grow as much as it should. There are all kinds of commercial institutions with initiatives for agric. As far as I am concerned, the same should be done to real estate with housing as a critical part of the economy; in other climes, the economy is determined by how buoyant the real estate industry is.
“I agree that people have got their hands burnt and now prefer to go into other ventures rather than real estate but are the banks giving these credits in a way to help the real estate industry give the economy the bounce that is required? They are not doing that and if not, the question should be put to the government what it intends to do for the industry.”
He said the government should encourage banks to invest more in real estate.
The Central Bank of Nigeria’s Head, Project Administration Team of the National Housing Finance Programme, Mr Adedeji Adesemoye, noted that for the housing issues in the country to be addressed, access to mortgage must be put into consideration.
According to him, one way for the government, especially at the state level to address the challenge, is to sign the Mortgage Model and Foreclosure Act into law.
“The law would help to correct some of the shortcomings of the Land Use Act, which limits access to land and housing,” he said.
He stated that for people to be able to have better access to funding for investment in housing, mortgage culture must be encouraged to grow in the country.
Housing/Property
Senator McPepple, H&CM Ltd And Housing Revolution In Rivers
Housing/Property
Fubara’s Social Housing Policy, Workable In Rivers -China
An international housing professional, My-ACE China, has expressed support to the Rivers State Governor, Sir Siminalayi Fubara’s housing policy and the potential for accelerating housing delivery to the people of the state.
China, who is also the founder of international real estate empire, Mayor Of Housing, said this in Port Harcourt, while fielding questions from senior journalists on the assessment of the governor’s policy thrust and implementation strategy.
Weighing in on the inaugural speech of the Rivers State governor, with specific focus on housing delivery, China said that Fubara has struck the right cord by identifying social housing as key priority area his administration would invest in through pragmatic public-private partnership initiatives.
In his “Blueprint for consolidating The New Rivers Vision”, Fubara had said, “As Rivers State continues to urbanise, the demand for decent housing also escalates. New Rivers Vision’s housing policy would support private sector investments in housing development to reduce the deficit.
“Although progress is slow, the potential in the state’s social housing sector is enormous. Therefore, we commit to expanding opportunities and incentives for individuals and real estate developers to invest in providing affordable houses for citizens.
“Accordingly, we shall: provide an enabling environment for massive housing development programme through public-private partnership participation; improve land acquisition and development by removing all encumbrances through reduced fees and timely approval of title documents to attract and encourage estate developers to deliver affordable housing; provide housing loans for civil servants to acquire or build their own houses with flexible long-term repayment terms; leverage the Federal Government to site low-cost housing schemes in the state for citizens to acquire for the families; and support the Rivers State Housing and Property Development Authority to promote and invest in the development of housing estates to serve the needs of citizens either alone or in partnership with the private sector.”
Explaining the import of the policy for Rivers people, China said that Social Housing was the answer to the huge deficit in the sector because it provides ‘Affordable Housing’ for majority of low-income earners, adding, “It is a scheme where a government subsidises the cost of housing to a group such as indigenes, civil servants, or under-privileged persons.
He praised Fubara for the initiative, adding that many professionals in the sector were ready to help government drive the policy to highest level of success.
“Most times, government provides what we call long-term either rent-to-own models with low simple houses that are basic, which minimum wage earners can achieve as their aspirations to home ownership. It is usually a government-controlled housing scheme.”
Pushed on what the new Rivers State administration can do to actualise the desire, the sustainable housing expert said, “I was very delighted with the new Governor, Sir SiminalayiFubara, when I discovered that social housing was the priority of his administration.
“What the administration can do to actualise this are four fold. First is decentralisation of government/parastatals and infrastructure. For instance, for you to achieve a social housing scheme, the government would go to upcoming areas where land is affordable; where construction would also be affordable. But you would notice apathy by Port Harcourt residents to go outside the city centre. Now, with rising cost of transportation, and where all the civil servants work at the State Secretariat in the city centre, and if a housing scheme is at Omagwa or Obiri-Ikwerre, and a worker has to travel from Omagwa or Obiri-Ikwere to work, the cost of transportation, which has been worsened by subsidy removal, would be counter-productive for the low-cost houses.
“Yes, you gave somebody house but it is not cost-effective to him because transport fare eats it up and renders the house non-affordable. So, the first thing the government needs to do is to make an immediate plan to decentralise some of the parastatals so that people can work and live close to or where the affordable houses are located.
“The second strategy is to make basic infrastructure like schools, health centres and markets available where the Social Housing Schemes are located.
“The third pathway to success is for government to subsidise and privatise the construction of any housing project. The major mistake with government-owned enterprises in Nigeria is that the initiatives are run by government appointees and officials. When another administration comes, the project suffers. Then, corruption, which leads to padding and inflation of costs in components,hampers the implementation of the projects because unlike many other ventures, housing is very sensitive to quality control. If you try to lower standard or other forms of corruption in a government housing scheme, the quality would be so compromised that the project might not be completed or meet standard specifications. Such project should not be handled by government bidding and vending system or persons not experienced in social housing.
“Government needs to get experienced industry players to provide the model and discount the model, and take the discount directly to the developer, and then, let the off-takers be pre-qualified by the government but they (government) pays whatever the amount is directly to the off-taker. That way, the government only comes in to subsidise the developer, and the pre-qualified off-takers take the houses at affordable rate.
“For instance, if an average two-bedroom bungalow would take N20million to procure. Then, the government comes to two parties; a developer and a private mortgage firm. The developer builds the house for N20million, the government decides to do a 50per cent subsidy, so, they pay N10million as counterpart funding for a civil servant, then,the mortgage firm comes in and pays the N10million. The civil servant can then service the N10million to the mortgage firm through either their national fund or their salary. That way, a civil servant actually is only able to pay the monthly repayment to own the house over about 10 years to the mortgage firm. The government ensures the quality of the houses, and because it is private sector driven, there is no room for corruption because the scheme is quality and profit driven, the firm has his name to protect. The government only comes in to ensure accessibility.
“The fourth option the Rivers State Government needs to do is to fish out the qualification of the housing design. There is a new trend called minimalism architecture, where bogus houses are not allowed but simple eco-friendly functional houses. That is why the Mayor of Housing is one of the first companies in Nigeria to retain a minimalist architecture, someone that ensures the houses are simple enough to avoid waste in construction. This is because there are too many dead spaces in houses that consume money but are not functional in return and utility to the end owners.
“In summary, decentralising public amenities at the level of the social housing scheme; privatisation to make it private-sector driven with government coming in for subsidy, and then, very deliberate design to eliminate bogusness to gain affordability and eco-friendly functionality. With these, I am sure the dream of His Excellency to achieve social housing would be very successful.
“One of the things that stood out in his inaugural speech is social housing. I look forward to its implementation so it can bring resurgence to the housing sector here in Rivers State,” China said.
Justifying social housing as the best strategy to close the housing gap, and highlighting where the scheme has been successfully implemented, China listed the US, London, and other places, including Nigeria in the Second Republic (early 1980s) when there were low-cost estates, adding that social housing policies have failed, in most part, in Nigeria since after the 1980s because of high level of corruption and bureaucracy.
He noted that, social housing would fail again, if government gets involved directly in the pre-qualification, construction and allocation processes, because, according to him, “a lot of value is lost in the corruption chain”.
“When government wants to achieve social housing, the corruption and bureaucracy in the system would stifle it. The only option is to have it driven by the private sector. You have to get a credible firm to construct it just as you give construction firms to construct roads for you. Government is to supervise the value chain while private sector handles the nuts in the chains. It has worked in a lot of places, and it is one of the ways that government uses to intervene in housing crisis. Nigeria is now in a state of emergency because we are talking of 22 to 28million housing deficit,” he said.
Speaking on the difference between social housing and normal housing schemes, China explained that, “The difference between social housing and normal housing schemes is that social housing is usually subsidised by the government.”
He made recommendations to help government efficiently implement the policy.
China said, “We live in an import-dependent economy, and once forex goes up, everything goes up. We are also in a logistics-dependent country. So, when fuel goes up, everything goes up too.
“That is why the hyper-inflation that began two years ago when fuel went to N186 has remained there. It has gone to 21per cent for two years, and with the new surge after subsidy removal, it will only go higher. If deliberate interventions are not made to buffer the effect, inflation will only get worse. The cost of housing will also be affected by inflation, unless the government can cushion the effects through social housing.
“Two things can be done: Subsidy or discount on social housing; consideration of minimum wage review because when the cost of housing has been subsidised, the off-taker (workers) would still need to do their own counterpart funding. If minimum wage is not enough due to high transportation cost, you will still record very high level of default in the payment regime. If that happens, the system might have problem.
Another thing that can help is the technology deployed in building those houses. We need to look at what substitutes exist in low-cost schemes. Low-cost housing must not be low-quality housing. There is minimalism architecture where the houses would be designed to have facilities for basic shelter and not luxuries or bogus facilities that cost more. The tech determines the cost. If you run it as normal government contract where contractors come and bid, it will make a mess of the whole thing.
“We know that government vendors do a lot of padding. Therefore, government will need to go out of its way to invite already tested brands in the housing value chain that are already developing low-cost houses, and then have a public-private partnership (PPP) arrangement with them to favour the off-takers. Social Housing is all about cost. If it is not affordable, then, it is not social housing.”
China said that a good number of experts and private sector investors were already waiting to take advantage of the governor’s policy strategy to make affordable and accessible housing available for millions of low-income earners, who had been left behind in the equation in order to bridge the wide gap in the housing deficit.
By: Nelson Chukwudi
Housing/Property
Decline In Commercial Real Estate Triggers Reduction In Valuation Jobs
With commercial real estate market impacted by major disruptions, including the global financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic, property valuation jobs are becoming hard to find among professionals.
The sector has also been slowed down by uncertainties in the market and turbulent Nigerian economy, especially monetary and fiscal policies.
Besides, the market has also been hit by the rise in building materials, especially cement, rods and sanitary wares that made it impossible for investors to delve into commercial real estate developments, while facility managers tripled their charges due to energy and other maintenance costs.
For instance, a 50-kilogramme bag of cement earlier sold for N4, 200 has shot up to N4, 700 in some locations. A set of sanitary wares now goes for N50, 000, against the earlier price of N45, 000 and a tonne of iron rods climbed to N500, 000 from N490, 000.
The total value of global commercial property fell by five per cent in 2020, to $32.6 trillion, at a time when global economic output contracted by more than three per cent.
In Nigeria, especially Lagos, commercial real estate sector declined by 14 per cent in 2022 compared to 2021 amid currency challenges and rising inflation. Interestingly, office demand remains within the premise of either quality or affordability.
Notably, the office market continues to exhibit varying levels of occupancy across different grades. The B+ grade segment appears to have the highest occupancy level at 78.36 per cent, while the A and B+ grade segments have 71.35 per cent and 75.35 per cent occupancy levels respectively.
Estate Intel said the office sector in Nigeria recorded a decline to 16 per cent of total stock from the 25 per cent recorded in 2022. However, it stated that the sector has continued to remain resilient in terms of occupancy rates despite pandemic headwinds and leasing activity still being driven by relocations.
According to Savills World Research, the value of all the world’s real estate reached $326.5 trillion in 2020, a five per cent increase on 2019 levels and a record high. Growth was driven by residential, which is by far the largest real estate sector, accounting for 79 per cent of all global real estate value. It saw its value increase by eight per cent over the year, to some $258.5 trillion.
The world’s most significant store of wealth, real estate, is more valuable than all global equities and debt securities combined, and almost four times that of global Gross Domestic Product (GDP). The value of all gold ever mined pales by comparison at $12.1 trillion, at just four per cent the value of global property.
For instance, International Monetary Fund (IMF) said tighter financial conditions tend to have a direct impact on commercial property prices by making it more expensive for investors to finance new deals or refinance existing loans, thereby, lowering investment in the sector.
They could also have an indirect impact on the sector by slowing economic activity, reducing demand for commercial property such as shops, restaurants and industrial buildings.
Estate surveyors and valuers, who confirmed the decline in commercial real estate in Nigeria, however, said the sector is currently peaking up again. “The major challenge is lack of commercial spaces as investors shy away from developing commercial real as part of fall out of COVID- 19 challenges.
“Now that businesses are coming back to traditional offices, we have gaps that will take some time to fill,” according to the Chairman, Faculty Plant and Equipment Valuation, Nigerian Institution of Estate Surveyors and Valuers (NIESV), Mr. Kevin Ofili.
He admitted that the decline in commercial real estate transactions have affected valuation jobs. “Naturally, because of void earlier created by COVID-19, valuation jobs as it relates to office buildings dropped significantly since 2020, but studies for developing new office buildings is picking up again,” he said.
Ofili said government is spending less in capital-related expenditure and Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) continuous increase in Monetary Policy Rate (MPR) is a major challenge to valuation and other services-related jobs in Nigeria.
“Once business activities reduce in any society, valuation assignments will reduce couple with continuous rising interest rate in Nigeria and world over,” he said.
Ofili called for special incentives from government, such as tax incentives for developers and to lower property-based taxation for uses in the short to medium term. He also suggested compulsory valuation by government in dealing with excise duties assessment among others like compulsory insurance valuation for government premium payments.
For the Chairman, NIESV, Valuation Professional Group, Gbenga Ismail, the market is stagnant and not many new developments in the pipeline and valuation instruction has reduced, as main valuation instructions are for mortgages commercial loans and financial reporting. “So, if mortgages are reducing definitely valuation instructions will reduce,” he said.
He also pointed out the main issue is advancement in technology. “It is becoming easier to determine valuation process coupled with this is policy. If policy does not insist on valuation then no corporate will do it. So, policies like financial reporting are expected to increase valuation.”
Ismail, who is also Vice Chairman, NIESV Lagos, said the good old days have gone, like in Asset Management Corporation of Nigeria (AMCON), when the process required that valuations be done before a transaction is concluded.
“Government should also request valuation under Bureau of Public Procurement (BPP) rules before any real estate procurement is done.
“All valuation reports are financial reporting instruments. The purpose of the report is to guide before any major decision is taken. What the valuer does is to provide market intelligence through the report to add to what you already know,” he added.