Editorial
Lessons From PDP Primary
The much-awaited presidential primary election of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) has ultimately come and gone. In the event that occurred last Saturday into Sunday, Nigeria’s former Vice President, Alhaji Atiku Abubakar, emerged as the presidential candidate of the main opposition party. The Adamawa State-born politician defeated other aspirants in a keenly contested primary held at the Moshood Abiola Stadium in Abuja.
According to the results declared, of the 764 accredited ballots at the election, Abubakar polled 371 votes while his closest challenger, the Rivers State Governor, Chief Nyesom Wike, came second with 237 votes. Nigeria’s former Senate President, Bukola Saraki, scored 70 votes to come a distant third, while the Akwa Ibom State Governor, Udom Emmanuel, came fourth with 38 votes.
The only female in the race, Tariela Oliver, and another contestant, Sam Ohuabunwa, scored one vote each. A former President of the Senate, Pius Anyim, amassed 14 votes while Bauchi State Governor, Bala Mohammed got 20 votes. The other contestants, ex-Governor Ayodele Fayose of Ekiti State and magazine publisher, Dele Momodu, got no votes. Twelve invalid votes were recorded, according to reports.
Recall that Abubakar had also secured the ticket of the PDP in 2019 but lost at the general elections to the incumbent, President Muhammadu Buhari of the All Progressives Congress (APC). While the former Vice President’s victory at the primary is his second successive attempt, it also marks his fifth shot at the highest office in the land. He has had other unsuccessful contests for the seat under both the APC and his current party, the PDP.
Before the commencement of the election at the convention venue, one of the top contenders for the race, the Sokoto State Governor, Aminu Tambuwal, withdrew from the competition. Prior to his withdrawal, however, Tambuwal was among the top three contenders and was believed to enjoy the full support of members of the party from the North-West, the region that had the largest number of accredited delegates. Tambuwal did not only discontinue the race but also asked his supporters to vote for Atiku, a development which significantly tilted the outcome of the election in favour of the winner.
Wike and all the governors in Southern Nigeria had consistently demanded that the position of President be returned to the South after Buhari’s eight years in office in line with equity and fairness. Although power shift or rotation is not enshrined in the Nigerian Constitution, it is reckoned to be a gentleman’s agreement that power rotates between the North and the South.
Reflecting on his outing at the presidential primary, the Rivers State Governor blamed his loss to the former Vice President on his Southern counterparts. He explained that the Southern governors betrayed him by working against their earlier agreement that the highest office should return to the South. According to him, PDP governors ganged up with some vested interests to derail the quest of the South to produce the next President on the platform of the party.
We share the governor’s sentiment. It is shocking that Southern governors who, regardless of party affiliations, met severally in Port Harcourt, Asaba and Lagos where they decided to compel the two major political parties to zone the position of President to the region, would abandon their resolution and support a Northern aspirant. That was the height of betrayal and hypocrisy that will further plummet the region into political servitude.
It is depressing that the PDP, the party that has always claimed to champion the precepts of equity, justice, and Southern rights and that has always prided itself on its strong Southern base, would opt to throw its presidential ticket open which a Northerner eventually won. The party obviously turned its back on the people of the South, particularly the South-South and the South-East, who have given it more support than any other zone in the country over the last 23 years.
The Southern aspirants are equally to blame for declining the consensus option mainly in favour of Wike who was unarguably the strongest contestant from the region. This cost politicians from the South the presidential slot and demonstrated the profound division among the political class in the area. The lack of unity of purpose amid politicians down South has often enabled the North to easily rally its men on the field and get the result that will be beneficial to the region. Northern politics is not rocket science; it is politics of collective interest.
It must be understood that the North, by the emergence of Atiku as the PDP presidential candidate, has effectively demonstrated that it is the region to beat any day, anytime. That is unfortunate for the South. It is even sadder for the South-East, which attended the PDP convention with 95 delegates but got only 15 votes for its two sons, Anyim, who got 14 votes, and Ohuabunwa, garnering only one vote. Who did the other delegates from the zone vote for?
The outcome of the convention has an eternal lesson in unity and cohesive politics which are conspicuously missing in the South. And if there is anyone who should learn and relearn these lessons of the convention, it is politicians from the region. The division among the Southern political class is worrisome. It has once again confirmed that the North is far ahead of the rest of the country in strategic politicking, even though there may be a preponderance of educated fellows in the South.
An additional lesson is that the North does not have any permanent friends when it comes to power equations. Northerners do not know what is dubbed equilibrium in power-sharing. Looking at what happened in Abuja last Saturday and juxtaposing that with how Wike threw everything he had behind the aspiration of Tambuwal in 2019, the conclusion will be drawn that the Sokoto governor is an ingrate. When it came to the most critical moment, Tambuwal remembered that he must step down for no other person but his Fulani brother.
With the outcome of the PDP presidential primary, Wike has exemplified unique courage and dominant virtue as an invariant man. Neither Atiku nor Tambuwal can parallel his allegiance to the PDP. Wike has been consistent and has protected the party with everything he has. In his relationship with people, he has kept faith with the principle of fidelity. He fights for his friends and supports their aspirations.
His outing at the just concluded convention is commendable and worthy of celebration. For him to have polled 237 votes, against Atiku’s 371, reveals a strong positive character. Hence, the PDP should commemorate him in its fold. His never-say-die traits will be valuable in the days ahead. Denying the South an opportunity to produce the party’s presidential flag-bearer for the 2023 general election, has opened a new vista in the demand by the region for the number one slot in the country.
The recent massacre in Yelewata, Benue State, ranks among Nigeria’s deadliest attacks of
2025. While official figures put the death toll at 59, media reports and Amnesty International estimate between 100 and 200 fatalities. This atrocity extends a decade-long pattern of violence in Nigeria’s Middle Belt, where Beacon Security data records 1,043 deaths in Benue alone between May 2023 and May 2025.
President Tinubu’s visit on 18 June—four days after the 14 June attack—has drawn sharp criticism for its lateness. This delay echoes a history of inadequate responses, with Human Rights Watch documenting similar inaction in Plateau and Kaduna states since 2013, fuelling a culture of impunity. The attack lasted over two hours without meaningful security intervention, despite claims of swift action.
The violence bore hallmarks of genocide, with survivors recounting systematic house burnings and executions. More than 2.2 million people have been displaced in the region since 2019 due to comparable attacks. Data show Benue’s agricultural output falls by 0.21 per cent in crops and 0.31 per cent in livestock for every 1 per cent rise in violence.
Security forces continue to underperform. No arrests were made following the Easter attacks in April (56 killed) or May’s Gwer West massacre (42 killed). During his visit, Tinubu questioned publicly why no suspects had been detained four days after Yelewata, highlighting entrenched accountability failures.
The roots of the conflict are complex, with climate change pushing northern herders south and 77 per cent of Benue’s population reliant on agriculture. A Tiv community leader described the violence as “calculated land-grabbing” rather than mere clashes, with over 500 deaths recorded since 2019.
Government interventions have largely fallen short. The 2018 federal task force and 2025 Forest Guards initiative failed to curb violence. Tinubu’s newly announced committee of ex-governors and traditional rulers has been met with scepticism given the litany of past unkept promises.
The economic fallout is severe. Benue’s status as Nigeria’s “food basket” is crumbling as farms are destroyed and farmers displaced. This worsens the nation’s food crisis, with hunger surges in 2023-2024 directly linked to farming disruptions caused by insecurity.
Citizens demanding justice have been met with force; protesters faced police tear gas, and the State Assembly conceded total failure in safeguarding lives, admitting that the governor, deputy, and 32 lawmakers had all neglected their constitutional responsibilities.
The massacre has drawn international condemnation. Pope Leo XIV decried the “terrible massacre,” while the UN called for an investigation. The hashtag “200 Nigerians” trended worldwide on X, with many contrasting Nigeria’s slow response to India’s swift action following a plane crash with similar fatalities.
Nigeria’s centralised security system is clearly overwhelmed. A single police force is tasked with covering 36 states and 774 local government areas for a population exceeding 200 million. Between 2021 and 2023 alone, 29,828 killings and 15,404 kidnappings were recorded nationally. Proposals for state police, floated since January 2025, remain stalled.
Other populous nations offer alternative models. Canada’s provincial police, India’s state forces, and Indonesia’s municipal units demonstrate the effectiveness of decentralised policing. Nigeria’s centralised structure creates intelligence and response gaps, worsened by the distance—both physical and bureaucratic—from Abuja to affected communities.
The immediate aftermath is dire: 21 IDP camps in Benue are overwhelmed, and a humanitarian crisis is deepening. The State Assembly declared three days of mourning (18-20 June), but survivors lack sufficient medical aid. Tragically, many of those killed were already displaced by earlier violence.
A lasting solution requires a multi-pronged approach, including targeted security deployment, regulated grazing land, and full enforcement of Benue’s 2017 Anti-Open Grazing Law. The National Economic Council’s failure to prioritise state police in May 2025 represents a missed chance for reform.
Without decisive intervention, trends suggest conditions will worsen. More than 20,000 Nigerians have been killed and 13,000 kidnapped nationwide in 2025 alone. As Governor Hyacinth Alia stressed during Tinubu’s visit, state police may be the only viable path forward. All 36 states have submitted proposals supporting decentralisation—a crucial step towards breaking Nigeria’s vicious cycle of violence.
Nigeria’s return to democratic rule in 1999 marked a watershed moment in the nation’s political history. After enduring nearly 16 years of successive military dictatorships, Nigerians embraced a new era of civil governance with the inauguration of President Olusegun Obasanjo on May 29, 1999. Since then, the country has sustained a democratic system for 26 years. But, this democratic journey has been a complex mix of progress and persistent challenges.
The formal recognition of June 12 as Democracy Day in 2018 by former President Muhammadu Buhari acknowledged a long-standing injustice. The annulment of the 1993 presidential election, Nigeria’s freest, betrayed the democratic aspirations of millions. That it took decades to honour this date reflects the nation’s complex relationship with its democratic memory.
One of the most momentous successes of Nigeria’s democracy has been the uninterrupted civilian rule over the last two and a half decades. The country has witnessed seven general elections, with power transferring peacefully among different political parties. This is particularly notable considering that prior to 1999, no civilian government had completed a full term without military intervention. The peaceful transitions in 2007, 2015, and 2023 are testaments to Nigeria’s evolving democratic maturity.
Electoral participation, while uneven, has also reflected a level of democratic engagement. In 2003, voter turnout stood at about 69 per cent, but this figure dropped to approximately 34.75 per cent in 2023, according to the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC). Although the declining turnout raises concerns, it also highlights the increasing expectations of the electorate, who demand credible and transparent elections.
Another area of progress is the growth of a vibrant and free press. Nigerian media has played a crucial role in holding governments accountable and fostering public discourse. Investigative journalism and civil society activism have exposed corruption and human rights abuses. The rise of social media has further expanded the democratic space, enabling young Nigerians to mobilise and advocate for change, as evidenced by the 2020 #EndSARS protests.
Judicial independence has seen mixed results. On one hand, the judiciary has occasionally demonstrated resilience, such as in landmark rulings that overturned fraudulent elections or curtailed executive excesses. On the other hand, allegations of political interference and corruption within the judiciary persist, undermining public confidence in the legal system’s impartiality.
Nigeria’s democracy has also facilitated the decentralisation of power through the federal system. State governments now wield some autonomy, allowing for experimentation in governance and service delivery. While this has led to innovative policies in some states, it has also entrenched patronage networks and uneven development across the federation.
Despite these successes, Nigeria’s democratic journey faces formidable problems. Electoral integrity remains a critical concern. Reports from election observers, including those from the European Union and ECOWAS, frequently highlight issues such as vote-buying, ballot box snatching, and violence. The introduction of the Bimodal Voter Accreditation System (BVAS) and electronic transmission of results in 2023 elections showed promise, but technical glitches and alleged manipulations dampened public trust.
Corruption continues to be a pervasive issue. Nigeria ranks 145th out of 180 countries on Transparency International’s 2023 Corruption Perceptions Index, with a score of 25/100. Democratic institutions meant to check graft—such as anti-corruption agencies and the legislature—often struggle due to political interference and weak enforcement mechanisms.
Security challenges have also strained Nigeria’s democracy. Insurgency in the North East, banditry in the North West, separatist agitations in the South East, and herder-farmer conflicts across the Middle Belt have collectively resulted in thousands of deaths and displacements. According to the Global Terrorism Index 2024, Nigeria ranks as the eighth most impacted country by terrorism. The government’s difficulty in ensuring safety erodes public confidence in the state’s capacity and legitimacy.
The economy poses another critical remonstrance. Nigeria’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita stands at approximately $2,400 as of 2024, with over 40 per cent of the population living below the national poverty line. High unemployment and inflation have fueled discontent and disillusionment with democratic governance, especially among youth. Without addressing economic grievances, the democratic dividend will remain elusive for many Nigerians.
Ethnic and religious divisions further complicate Nigeria’s democratic consolidation. Politicians often exploit identity politics for electoral gains, exacerbating social tensions. Although federal character principles aim to promote inclusiveness, they have also sometimes fostered a quota mentality rather than merit-based appointments.
Gender representation remains inadequate in Nigeria’s democratic institutions. Women occupy less than 10 per cent of seats in the National Assembly, one of the lowest rates globally. Efforts to pass gender parity bills have faced stiff resistance, highlighting deep-seated cultural and institutional barriers to female political participation.
Civil liberties, while constitutionally guaranteed, are under threat. Crackdowns on protesters, restrictions on press freedom, and surveillance of activists reveal an authoritarian streak within the democratic framework. The controversial Twitter ban in 2021 exemplified the country’s willingness to curb digital freedoms, prompting domestic and international criticism.
The political crisis in Rivers State embodies broader democratic struggles. Attempts to control the state through undemocratic means expose weaknesses in federal institutions and the rule of law. Immediate restoration of democratic governance in Rivers State is vital to preserving Nigeria’s democratic integrity and institutional credibility.
Local governments remain under the control of state governors, depriving citizens of grassroots democracy. Last year’s Supreme Court judgment on local government autonomy is promising, but state-level resistance threatens its implementation. Genuine autonomy would bring governance closer to the people and foster democratic innovation.
As we mark Democracy Day, we must honour the sacrifices of Chief M.K.O. Abiola, Kudirat Abiola, Femi Falana, Chief Gani Fawehinmi, Pa Alfred Rewane, President Bola Tinubu, and countless others, who fought for Nigeria’s freedom. As democracy in Nigeria continues to evolve after 26 years, this day should inspire action toward its renewal. With despotism and state failure as real threats, both citizens and leaders must take responsibility—citizens by demanding more, and leaders by delivering. Excuses are no longer acceptable.